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function oo_=perfect_foresight_with_expectation_errors_setup(M_, options_, oo_)
% INPUTS
% M_ [structure] describing the model
% options_ [structure] describing the options
% oo_ [structure] storing the results
%
% OUTPUTS
% oo_ [structure] storing the results
% Copyright © 2021-2023 Dynare Team
%
% This file is part of Dynare.
%
% Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
% it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
% the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
% (at your option) any later version.
%
% Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
% but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
% MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
% GNU General Public License for more details.
%
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
% along with Dynare. If not, see <https://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
if ~isempty(M_.endo_histval)
error('perfect_foresight_with_expectation_errors_setup: cannot be used in conjunction with histval')
end
if ~isempty(oo_.initval_series)
error('perfect_foresight_with_expectation_errors_setup: cannot be used in conjunction with histval_file/initval_file')
end
periods = options_.periods;
%% Initialize informational structures
oo_.pfwee.terminal_info = NaN(M_.exo_nbr, periods); % 2nd dimension is informational time
oo_.pfwee.shocks_info = NaN(M_.exo_nbr, periods, periods); % 2nd dimension is real time, 3rd dimension is informational time
if exist(options_.datafile, 'file')
if ~isempty(M_.det_shocks) || ~isempty(M_.learnt_shocks) || ~isempty(oo_.initial_steady_state) || ~isempty(M_.learnt_endval)
warning('perfect_foresight_with_expectation_errors_setup: since you passed the datafile option, the contents of shocks and endval blocks will be ignored')
end
%% Read CSV file
%% We can’t use readcell (only in MATLAB ≥ R2019a), so instead rely on csvread and manual hacks
% Read numeric data, skipping first row and first column
raw_csv = csvread(options_.datafile, 1, 1);
if size(raw_csv, 1)-2 ~= periods
error(['perfect_foresight_with_expectation_errors_setup: the number of rows in ' options_.datafile ' does not match the periods setting'])
end
% Read first line (exogenous variable names)
fid = fopen(options_.datafile);
csv_first_line = fgetl(fid);
fclose(fid);
exo_header_names = strsplit(csv_first_line, ',');
exo_header_names = exo_header_names(2:end); % Remove first column
if numel(exo_header_names) ~= size(raw_csv, 2)
error(['perfect_foresight_with_expectation_errors_setup: first line malformed in ' options_.datafile])
end
%% Create and fill structures containing information sets
for i = 1:size(raw_csv, 2)
exo_id = strmatch(exo_header_names{i}, M_.exo_names, 'exact');
period_id = raw_csv(1, i);
% Ignore irrelevant periods when copying shocks information
oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(exo_id, period_id:end, period_id) = raw_csv(1+period_id:end-1, i);
oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(exo_id, period_id) = raw_csv(end, i);
end
else
%% No datafile option given, use the contents of shocks and endval blocks
if isempty(M_.learnt_shocks) && isempty(M_.learnt_endval)
warning('perfect_foresight_with_expectation_errors_setup: there is no shocks(learnt_in=...) or endval(learnt_in=...) block, and you did not pass the datafile option, so there is no point in using this command')
end
%% Initialize information set at period 1 using “bare” shocks and endval blocks (or initval if there is no endval)
oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(:, 1) = oo_.exo_steady_state;
oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(:, :, 1) = repmat(oo_.exo_steady_state, 1, periods);
for i = 1:length(M_.det_shocks)
prds = M_.det_shocks(i).periods;
exo_id = M_.det_shocks(i).exo_id;
v = M_.det_shocks(i).value;
if ~M_.det_shocks(i).exo_det
switch M_.det_shocks(i).type
case 'level'
oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(exo_id, prds, 1) = v;
case 'multiply_steady_state'
oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(exo_id, prds, 1) = oo_.exo_steady_state(exo_id) * v;
case 'multiply_initial_steady_state'
if isempty(oo_.initial_exo_steady_state)
error('Option relative_to_initval of mshocks block cannot be used without an endval block')
end
oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(exo_id, prds, 1) = oo_.initial_exo_steady_state(exo_id) * v;
end
end
end
%% Construct information sets for subsequent informational periods
for p = 2:periods
oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(:, p) = oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(:, p-1);
oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(:, :, p) = oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(:, :, p-1);
if ~isempty(M_.learnt_endval)
idx = find([M_.learnt_endval.learnt_in] == p);
for i = 1:length(idx)
j = idx(i);
exo_id = M_.learnt_endval(j).exo_id;
switch M_.learnt_endval(j).type
case 'level'
oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(exo_id, p) = M_.learnt_endval(j).value;
case 'add'
oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(exo_id, p) = oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(exo_id, p-1) + M_.learnt_endval(j).value;
case 'multiply'
oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(exo_id, p) = oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(exo_id, p-1) * M_.learnt_endval(j).value;
otherwise
error('Unknown type in M_.learnt_endval')
end
oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(exo_id, p:end, p) = oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(exo_id, p);
end
end
if ~isempty(M_.learnt_shocks)
idx = find([M_.learnt_shocks.learnt_in] == p);
for i = 1:length(idx)
j = idx(i);
exo_id = M_.learnt_shocks(j).exo_id;
prds = M_.learnt_shocks(j).periods;
switch M_.learnt_shocks(j).type
case 'level'
oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(exo_id, prds, p) = M_.learnt_shocks(j).value;
case 'add'
oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(exo_id, prds, p) = oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(exo_id, prds, p-1) + M_.learnt_shocks(j).value;
case 'multiply'
oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(exo_id, prds, p) = oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(exo_id, prds, p-1) .* M_.learnt_shocks(j).value;
case 'multiply_steady_state'
oo_.pfwee.shocks_info(exo_id, prds, p) = oo_.pfwee.terminal_info(exo_id, p) * M_.learnt_shocks(j).value;
otherwise
error('Unknown type in M_.learnt_shocks')
end
end
end
end
end
% Build initial paths for endos and exos (only initial conditions are set, the rest is NaN)
if isempty(oo_.initial_steady_state)
oo_.endo_simul = repmat(oo_.steady_state, 1, M_.maximum_lag+periods+M_.maximum_lead);
else
oo_.endo_simul = [repmat(oo_.initial_steady_state, 1, M_.maximum_lag) repmat(oo_.steady_state, 1, periods+M_.maximum_lead)];
end
if isempty(oo_.initial_exo_steady_state)
oo_.exo_simul = repmat(oo_.exo_steady_state', M_.maximum_lag+periods+M_.maximum_lead, 1);
else
oo_.exo_simul = [repmat(oo_.initial_exo_steady_state', M_.maximum_lag, 1); repmat(oo_.exo_steady_state', periods+M_.maximum_lead, 1)];
end
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