File: UnitrootUrcaInterface.Rd

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\name{UnitrootUrcaInterface}
\title{Unit Root Time Series Tests}

\alias{UnitrootUrcaInterface}

\alias{urdfTest}
\alias{urersTest}
\alias{urkpssTest}
\alias{urppTest}
\alias{urspTest}
\alias{urzaTest}

\description{
  A collection and description of functions
  for unit root testing.  This is a Rmetrics
  conform interface to the unitroot tests implemented by B. Pfaff
  available through the \R package "\pkg{urca}" which is required here.

  Added functions based on the \pkg{urca} package include:

  \tabular{ll}{
    \code{urdfTest} \tab Augmented Dickey--Fuller test for unit roots, \cr
    \code{urersTest} \tab Elliott--Rothenberg--Stock test for unit roots, \cr
    \code{urkpssTest} \tab KPSS unit root test for stationarity, \cr
    \code{urppTest} \tab Phillips--Perron test for unit roots, \cr
    \code{urspTest} \tab Schmidt--Phillips test for unit roots, \cr
    \code{urzaTest} \tab Zivot--Andrews test for unit roots.
  }
}

\note{
  The functions \code{ur*Test()} fullfill the naming conventions
  of Rmetrics, return an S4 object named \code{fHTEST} as any other
  hypothesis test from Rmetrics, and allow for \code{timeSeries} objects
  as input.  These are the only differences to the original implementation
  of the functions.

  Fur further details we refer to the manual pages of the
  \pkg{urca} package which is required for all these.
}


\usage{
urdfTest(x, lags = 1, type = c("nc", "c", "ct"), doplot = TRUE)
urersTest(x, type = c("DF-GLS", "P-test"), model = c("constant", "trend"),
    lag.max = 4, doplot = TRUE)
urkpssTest(x, type = c("mu", "tau"), lags = c("short", "long", "nil"),
    use.lag = NULL, doplot = TRUE)
urppTest(x, type = c("Z-alpha", "Z-tau"), model = c("constant", "trend"),
    lags = c("short", "long"), use.lag = NULL, doplot = TRUE)
urspTest(x, type = c("tau", "rho"), pol.deg = c(1, 2, 3, 4),
    signif = c(0.01, 0.05, 0.1), doplot = TRUE)
urzaTest(x, model = c("intercept", "trend", "both"), lag, doplot = TRUE)
}

\arguments{
    %\item{description}{
    %    a character string which allows for a brief description.
    %    }
    \item{doplot}{
        [ur*Test] - \cr
        a logical flag, by default \code{TRUE}. Should a diagnostical
        plot be displayed?
        }
    \item{lag.max}{
        [urersTest] - \cr
        the maximum numbers of lags used for testing of a decent lag
        truncation for the \code{"P-test"}, BIC used, or the maximum
        number of lagged differences to be included in the test
        regression for \code{"DF-GLS"}.
        }
    \item{lag}{
        [urzaTest] - \cr
        the highest number of lagged endogenous differenced variables
        to be included in the test regression.
        }
    \item{lags}{
        [urkpssTest][urppTest] - \cr
        the maximum number of lags used for error term correction.
        }
    \item{model}{
        [urersTest] - \cr
        a character string dennoting the deterministic model used for
        detrending, either \code{"constant"}, the default, or
        \code{"trend"}. \cr
        [urppTest] - \cr
        a character string which determines the deterministic part in
        the test regression, either \code{"constant"}, the default, or
        \code{"trend"}. \cr
        [urzaTest] - \cr
        a character string specifying if the potential break occured
        in either the \code{"intercept"}, the linear \code{"trend"} or
        in \code{"both"}.
        }
    \item{pol.deg}{
        [urspTest] - \cr
        the polynomial degree in the test regression.
        }
    \item{signif}{
        [urspTest] - \cr
        the significance level for the critical value of the test
        statistic.
        }
    %\item{title}{
    %    a character string which allows for a project title.
    %    }
    \item{type}{
        [urkpssTest] - \cr
        a character string which denotes the type of deterministic part,
        either \code{"mu"}, the default, or \code{"tau"}.
        \cr
        [urppTest] - \cr
        a character string which specifies the test type, either
        \code{"Z-alpha"}, the default, or \code{"Z-tau"}.
        \cr
        [urspTest] - \cr
        a character string which specifies the test type, either
        \code{"tau"}, the default, or \code{"rho"}.
        }
    \item{use.lag}{
        [urkpssTest] - \cr
        a character string specifying the number of lags. Allowed
        arguments are \code{lags=c("short", "long", "nil")}, for more
        information see the details section.\cr
        [urppTest] - \cr
        Use of a different lag number, specified by the user.
        }
    \item{x}{
        a numeric vector or time series object.
        }
}


\details{
    \bold{Unit Root Tests from Berhard Pfaff's "\pkg{urca}" Package:}
    \cr

    \emph{Elliott--Rothenberg--Stock Test for Unit Roots:}
    \cr
    To improve the power of the unit root test, Elliot, Rothenberg and
    Stock proposed a local to unity detrending of the time series. ERS
    developed a feasible point optimal test, \code{"P-test"}, which
    takes serial correlation of the error term into account. The second
    test type is the \code{"DF-GLS"} test, which is an ADF-type test
    applied to the detrended data without intercept. Critical values
    for this test are taken from MacKinnon in case of \code{model="constant"}
    and else from Table 1 of Elliot, Rothenberg and Stock. \cr
    \code{[urca:ur.ers]} \cr

    \emph{KPSS Test for Unit Roots:}
    \cr
    Performs the KPSS unit root test, where the Null hypothesis is
    stationarity. The test types specify as deterministic component
    either a constant \code{"mu"} or a constant with linear trend
    \code{"tau"}. \code{lags="short"} sets the number of lags to
    \emph{root 4 of [4 times (n/100)}, whereas \code{lags="long"}
    sets the number of lags to \emph{root 4 of [12 times (n/100)]}.
    If \code{lags="nil"} is choosen, then no error correction is made.
    Furthermore, one can specify a different number of maximum lags
    by setting use.lag accordingly. \cr
    \code{[urca:ur.kpss]} \cr

    \emph{Phillips--Perron Test for Unit Roots:}
    \cr
    Performs the Phillips and Perron unit root test. Beside the
    Z statistics Z-alpha and Z-tau, the Z statistics for the
    deterministic part of the test regression are computed, too.
    For correction of the error term a Bartlett window is used. \cr
    \code{[urca:ur.pp]} \cr

    \emph{Schmidt--Phillips Test for Unit Roots:}
    \cr
    Performs the Schmidt and Phillips unit root test, where under
    the Null and Alternative Hypothesis the coefficients of the
    deterministic variables are included. Two test types are available:
    the \code{"rho-test"} and the \code{"tau-test"}. Both tests are
    extracted from the LM principle. \cr
    \code{[urca:ur.sp]} \cr

    \emph{Zivot--Andrews Test for Unit Roots:}
    \cr
    Performs the Zivot and Andrews unit root test, which allows a
    break at an unknown point in either the intercept, the linear
    trend or in both. This test is based upon the recursive estimation
    of a test regression. The test statistic is defined as the
    minimum t-statistic of the coeffcient of the lagged endogenous
    variable. \cr
    \code{[urca:ur.za]}

}


\value{

    All tests return an object of class \code{"fHTEST"} with the
    following slots:


    \item{@call}{
        the function call.
        }
    \item{@data}{
        a data frame with the input data.
        }
    \item{@data.name}{
        a character string giving the name of the data frame.
        }
    \item{@test}{
        a list object which holds the output of the underlying
        test function.
        }
    \item{@title}{
        a character string with the name of the test.
        }
    \item{@description}{
        a character string with a brief description of the
        test.
        }

    The entries of the \code{@test} slot include the following components:

    \item{$statistic}{
        the value of the test statistic.
        }
    \item{$parameter}{
        the lag order.
        }
    \item{$p.value}{
        the p-value of the test.
        }
    \item{$method}{
        a character string indicating what type of test was
        performed.
        }
    \item{$data.name}{
        a character string giving the name of the data.
        }
    \item{$alternative}{
        a character string describing the alternative
        hypothesis.
        }
    \item{$name}{
        the name of the underlying function, which may be wrapped.
        }
    \item{$output}{
        additional test results to be printed.
        }

}


\references{

Banerjee A., Dolado J.J., Galbraith J.W., Hendry D.F. (1993);
    \emph{Cointegration, Error Correction, and the Econometric
        Analysis of Non-Stationary Data},
    Oxford University Press, Oxford.

Dickey, D.A., Fuller, W.A. (1979);
    \emph{Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time
        series with a unit root},
    Journal of the American Statistical Association 74, 427--431.

Kwiatkowski D., Phillips P.C.B, Schmidt P., Shin Y. (1992);
    \emph{Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity against
    the Alternative of a Unit Root},
    Journal of Econometrics 54, 159--178.

Perron P. (1988);
    \emph{Trends and Random Walks in Macroeconomic Time Series},
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 12, 297--332.

Phillips P.C.B., Perron P. (1988);
    \emph{Testing for a unit root in time series regression},
    Biometrika 75, 335--346.

Said S.E., Dickey D.A. (1984);
    \emph{Testing for Unit Roots in Autoregressive-Moving Average
        Models of Unknown Order},
    Biometrika 71, 599--607.

Schwert G.W. (1989);
    \emph{Tests for Unit Roots: A Monte Carlo Investigation},
    Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 2, 147--159.

}


\author{
    Bernhard Pfaff for the tests implemented in R's "\pkg{urca}" package,\cr
    Diethelm Wuertz for the Rmetrics \R-port.
}


\examples{
## Time Series
   # A time series which contains no unit-root:
   x <- rnorm(1000)
   # A time series which contains a unit-root:
   y <- cumsum(c(0, x))

## ERS Test:
 if(require("urca")) {
   urersTest(x)
   urersTest(y)
  }
}

\keyword{htest}