File: hmm.py

package info (click to toggle)
python-hmmlearn 0.3.2-2
  • links: PTS, VCS
  • area: main
  • in suites: forky, sid, trixie
  • size: 588 kB
  • sloc: python: 4,797; cpp: 321; makefile: 13
file content (1075 lines) | stat: -rw-r--r-- 43,428 bytes parent folder | download
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
485
486
487
488
489
490
491
492
493
494
495
496
497
498
499
500
501
502
503
504
505
506
507
508
509
510
511
512
513
514
515
516
517
518
519
520
521
522
523
524
525
526
527
528
529
530
531
532
533
534
535
536
537
538
539
540
541
542
543
544
545
546
547
548
549
550
551
552
553
554
555
556
557
558
559
560
561
562
563
564
565
566
567
568
569
570
571
572
573
574
575
576
577
578
579
580
581
582
583
584
585
586
587
588
589
590
591
592
593
594
595
596
597
598
599
600
601
602
603
604
605
606
607
608
609
610
611
612
613
614
615
616
617
618
619
620
621
622
623
624
625
626
627
628
629
630
631
632
633
634
635
636
637
638
639
640
641
642
643
644
645
646
647
648
649
650
651
652
653
654
655
656
657
658
659
660
661
662
663
664
665
666
667
668
669
670
671
672
673
674
675
676
677
678
679
680
681
682
683
684
685
686
687
688
689
690
691
692
693
694
695
696
697
698
699
700
701
702
703
704
705
706
707
708
709
710
711
712
713
714
715
716
717
718
719
720
721
722
723
724
725
726
727
728
729
730
731
732
733
734
735
736
737
738
739
740
741
742
743
744
745
746
747
748
749
750
751
752
753
754
755
756
757
758
759
760
761
762
763
764
765
766
767
768
769
770
771
772
773
774
775
776
777
778
779
780
781
782
783
784
785
786
787
788
789
790
791
792
793
794
795
796
797
798
799
800
801
802
803
804
805
806
807
808
809
810
811
812
813
814
815
816
817
818
819
820
821
822
823
824
825
826
827
828
829
830
831
832
833
834
835
836
837
838
839
840
841
842
843
844
845
846
847
848
849
850
851
852
853
854
855
856
857
858
859
860
861
862
863
864
865
866
867
868
869
870
871
872
873
874
875
876
877
878
879
880
881
882
883
884
885
886
887
888
889
890
891
892
893
894
895
896
897
898
899
900
901
902
903
904
905
906
907
908
909
910
911
912
913
914
915
916
917
918
919
920
921
922
923
924
925
926
927
928
929
930
931
932
933
934
935
936
937
938
939
940
941
942
943
944
945
946
947
948
949
950
951
952
953
954
955
956
957
958
959
960
961
962
963
964
965
966
967
968
969
970
971
972
973
974
975
976
977
978
979
980
981
982
983
984
985
986
987
988
989
990
991
992
993
994
995
996
997
998
999
1000
1001
1002
1003
1004
1005
1006
1007
1008
1009
1010
1011
1012
1013
1014
1015
1016
1017
1018
1019
1020
1021
1022
1023
1024
1025
1026
1027
1028
1029
1030
1031
1032
1033
1034
1035
1036
1037
1038
1039
1040
1041
1042
1043
1044
1045
1046
1047
1048
1049
1050
1051
1052
1053
1054
1055
1056
1057
1058
1059
1060
1061
1062
1063
1064
1065
1066
1067
1068
1069
1070
1071
1072
1073
1074
1075
"""
The :mod:`hmmlearn.hmm` module implements hidden Markov models.
"""

import logging

import numpy as np
from scipy import linalg
from sklearn import cluster
from sklearn.utils import check_random_state

from . import _emissions, _utils
from .base import BaseHMM
from .utils import fill_covars, normalize


__all__ = [
    "GMMHMM", "GaussianHMM", "CategoricalHMM", "MultinomialHMM", "PoissonHMM",
]


_log = logging.getLogger(__name__)
COVARIANCE_TYPES = frozenset(("spherical", "diag", "full", "tied"))


class CategoricalHMM(_emissions.BaseCategoricalHMM, BaseHMM):
    """
    Hidden Markov Model with categorical (discrete) emissions.

    Attributes
    ----------
    n_features : int
        Number of possible symbols emitted by the model (in the samples).

    monitor_ : ConvergenceMonitor
        Monitor object used to check the convergence of EM.

    startprob_ : array, shape (n_components, )
        Initial state occupation distribution.

    transmat_ : array, shape (n_components, n_components)
        Matrix of transition probabilities between states.

    emissionprob_ : array, shape (n_components, n_features)
        Probability of emitting a given symbol when in each state.

    Examples
    --------
    >>> from hmmlearn.hmm import CategoricalHMM
    >>> CategoricalHMM(n_components=2)  #doctest: +ELLIPSIS
    CategoricalHMM(algorithm='viterbi',...
    """

    def __init__(self, n_components=1, startprob_prior=1.0,
                 transmat_prior=1.0, *, emissionprob_prior=1.0,
                 n_features=None, algorithm="viterbi",
                 random_state=None, n_iter=10, tol=1e-2,
                 verbose=False, params="ste", init_params="ste",
                 implementation="log"):
        """
        Parameters
        ----------
        n_components : int
            Number of states.

        startprob_prior : array, shape (n_components, ), optional
            Parameters of the Dirichlet prior distribution for
            :attr:`startprob_`.

        transmat_prior : array, shape (n_components, n_components), optional
            Parameters of the Dirichlet prior distribution for each row
            of the transition probabilities :attr:`transmat_`.

        emissionprob_prior : array, shape (n_components, n_features), optional
            Parameters of the Dirichlet prior distribution for
            :attr:`emissionprob_`.

        n_features: int, optional
            The number of categorical symbols in the HMM.  Will be inferred
            from the data if not set.

        algorithm : {"viterbi", "map"}, optional
            Decoder algorithm.

            - "viterbi": finds the most likely sequence of states, given all
              emissions.
            - "map" (also known as smoothing or forward-backward): finds the
              sequence of the individual most-likely states, given all
              emissions.

        random_state: RandomState or an int seed, optional
            A random number generator instance.

        n_iter : int, optional
            Maximum number of iterations to perform.

        tol : float, optional
            Convergence threshold. EM will stop if the gain in log-likelihood
            is below this value.

        verbose : bool, optional
            Whether per-iteration convergence reports are printed to
            :data:`sys.stderr`.  Convergence can also be diagnosed using the
            :attr:`monitor_` attribute.

        params, init_params : string, optional
            The parameters that get updated during (``params``) or initialized
            before (``init_params``) the training.  Can contain any
            combination of 's' for startprob, 't' for transmat, and 'e' for
            emissionprob.  Defaults to all parameters.

        implementation : string, optional
            Determines if the forward-backward algorithm is implemented with
            logarithms ("log"), or using scaling ("scaling").  The default is
            to use logarithms for backwards compatability.
        """
        BaseHMM.__init__(self, n_components,
                         startprob_prior=startprob_prior,
                         transmat_prior=transmat_prior,
                         algorithm=algorithm,
                         random_state=random_state,
                         n_iter=n_iter, tol=tol, verbose=verbose,
                         params=params, init_params=init_params,
                         implementation=implementation)
        self.emissionprob_prior = emissionprob_prior
        self.n_features = n_features

    def _init(self, X, lengths=None):
        super()._init(X, lengths)

        self.random_state = check_random_state(self.random_state)

        if self._needs_init('e', 'emissionprob_'):
            self.emissionprob_ = self.random_state.rand(
                self.n_components, self.n_features)
            normalize(self.emissionprob_, axis=1)

    def _check(self):
        super()._check()

        self.emissionprob_ = np.atleast_2d(self.emissionprob_)
        if self.n_features is None:
            self.n_features = self.emissionprob_.shape[1]
        if self.emissionprob_.shape != (self.n_components, self.n_features):
            raise ValueError(
                f"emissionprob_ must have shape"
                f"({self.n_components}, {self.n_features})")
        self._check_sum_1("emissionprob_")

    def _do_mstep(self, stats):
        super()._do_mstep(stats)
        if 'e' in self.params:
            self.emissionprob_ = np.maximum(
                self.emissionprob_prior - 1 + stats['obs'], 0)
            normalize(self.emissionprob_, axis=1)


class GaussianHMM(_emissions.BaseGaussianHMM, BaseHMM):
    """
    Hidden Markov Model with Gaussian emissions.

    Attributes
    ----------
    n_features : int
        Dimensionality of the Gaussian emissions.

    monitor_ : ConvergenceMonitor
        Monitor object used to check the convergence of EM.

    startprob_ : array, shape (n_components, )
        Initial state occupation distribution.

    transmat_ : array, shape (n_components, n_components)
        Matrix of transition probabilities between states.

    means_ : array, shape (n_components, n_features)
        Mean parameters for each state.

    covars_ : array
        Covariance parameters for each state.

        The shape depends on :attr:`covariance_type`:

        * (n_components, )                        if "spherical",
        * (n_components, n_features)              if "diag",
        * (n_components, n_features, n_features)  if "full",
        * (n_features, n_features)                if "tied".

    Examples
    --------
    >>> from hmmlearn.hmm import GaussianHMM
    >>> GaussianHMM(n_components=2)  #doctest: +ELLIPSIS
    GaussianHMM(algorithm='viterbi',...
    """

    def __init__(self, n_components=1, covariance_type='diag',
                 min_covar=1e-3,
                 startprob_prior=1.0, transmat_prior=1.0,
                 means_prior=0, means_weight=0,
                 covars_prior=1e-2, covars_weight=1,
                 algorithm="viterbi", random_state=None,
                 n_iter=10, tol=1e-2, verbose=False,
                 params="stmc", init_params="stmc",
                 implementation="log"):
        """
        Parameters
        ----------
        n_components : int
            Number of states.

        covariance_type : {"spherical", "diag", "full", "tied"}, optional
            The type of covariance parameters to use:

            * "spherical" --- each state uses a single variance value that
              applies to all features (default).
            * "diag" --- each state uses a diagonal covariance matrix.
            * "full" --- each state uses a full (i.e. unrestricted)
              covariance matrix.
            * "tied" --- all states use **the same** full covariance matrix.

        min_covar : float, optional
            Floor on the diagonal of the covariance matrix to prevent
            overfitting. Defaults to 1e-3.

        startprob_prior : array, shape (n_components, ), optional
            Parameters of the Dirichlet prior distribution for
            :attr:`startprob_`.

        transmat_prior : array, shape (n_components, n_components), optional
            Parameters of the Dirichlet prior distribution for each row
            of the transition probabilities :attr:`transmat_`.

        means_prior, means_weight : array, shape (n_components, ), optional
            Mean and precision of the Normal prior distribtion for
            :attr:`means_`.

        covars_prior, covars_weight : array, shape (n_components, ), optional
            Parameters of the prior distribution for the covariance matrix
            :attr:`covars_`.

            If :attr:`covariance_type` is "spherical" or "diag" the prior is
            the inverse gamma distribution, otherwise --- the inverse Wishart
            distribution.

        algorithm : {"viterbi", "map"}, optional
            Decoder algorithm.

            - "viterbi": finds the most likely sequence of states, given all
              emissions.
            - "map" (also known as smoothing or forward-backward): finds the
              sequence of the individual most-likely states, given all
              emissions.

        random_state: RandomState or an int seed, optional
            A random number generator instance.

        n_iter : int, optional
            Maximum number of iterations to perform.

        tol : float, optional
            Convergence threshold. EM will stop if the gain in log-likelihood
            is below this value.

        verbose : bool, optional
            Whether per-iteration convergence reports are printed to
            :data:`sys.stderr`.  Convergence can also be diagnosed using the
            :attr:`monitor_` attribute.

        params, init_params : string, optional
            The parameters that get updated during (``params``) or initialized
            before (``init_params``) the training.  Can contain any combination
            of 's' for startprob, 't' for transmat, 'm' for means, and 'c' for
            covars.  Defaults to all parameters.

        implementation : string, optional
            Determines if the forward-backward algorithm is implemented with
            logarithms ("log"), or using scaling ("scaling").  The default is
            to use logarithms for backwards compatability.
        """
        super().__init__(n_components,
                         startprob_prior=startprob_prior,
                         transmat_prior=transmat_prior, algorithm=algorithm,
                         random_state=random_state, n_iter=n_iter,
                         tol=tol, params=params, verbose=verbose,
                         init_params=init_params,
                         implementation=implementation)
        self.covariance_type = covariance_type
        self.min_covar = min_covar
        self.means_prior = means_prior
        self.means_weight = means_weight
        self.covars_prior = covars_prior
        self.covars_weight = covars_weight

    @property
    def covars_(self):
        """Return covars as a full matrix."""
        return fill_covars(self._covars_, self.covariance_type,
                           self.n_components, self.n_features)

    @covars_.setter
    def covars_(self, covars):
        covars = np.array(covars, copy=True)
        _utils._validate_covars(covars, self.covariance_type,
                                self.n_components)
        self._covars_ = covars

    def _init(self, X, lengths=None):
        super()._init(X, lengths)

        if self._needs_init("m", "means_"):
            kmeans = cluster.KMeans(n_clusters=self.n_components,
                                    random_state=self.random_state,
                                    n_init=10)  # sklearn <1.4 backcompat.
            kmeans.fit(X)
            self.means_ = kmeans.cluster_centers_
        if self._needs_init("c", "covars_"):
            cv = np.cov(X.T) + self.min_covar * np.eye(X.shape[1])
            if not cv.shape:
                cv.shape = (1, 1)
            self.covars_ = \
                _utils.distribute_covar_matrix_to_match_covariance_type(
                    cv, self.covariance_type, self.n_components).copy()

    def _check(self):
        super()._check()

        self.means_ = np.asarray(self.means_)
        self.n_features = self.means_.shape[1]

        if self.covariance_type not in COVARIANCE_TYPES:
            raise ValueError(
                f"covariance_type must be one of {COVARIANCE_TYPES}")

    def _needs_sufficient_statistics_for_mean(self):
        return 'm' in self.params

    def _needs_sufficient_statistics_for_covars(self):
        return 'c' in self.params

    def _do_mstep(self, stats):
        super()._do_mstep(stats)

        means_prior = self.means_prior
        means_weight = self.means_weight

        # TODO: find a proper reference for estimates for different
        #       covariance models.
        # Based on Huang, Acero, Hon, "Spoken Language Processing",
        # p. 443 - 445
        denom = stats['post'][:, None]
        if 'm' in self.params:
            self.means_ = ((means_weight * means_prior + stats['obs'])
                           / (means_weight + denom))

        if 'c' in self.params:
            covars_prior = self.covars_prior
            covars_weight = self.covars_weight
            meandiff = self.means_ - means_prior

            if self.covariance_type in ('spherical', 'diag'):
                c_n = (means_weight * meandiff**2
                       + stats['obs**2']
                       - 2 * self.means_ * stats['obs']
                       + self.means_**2 * denom)
                c_d = max(covars_weight - 1, 0) + denom
                self._covars_ = (covars_prior + c_n) / np.maximum(c_d, 1e-5)
                if self.covariance_type == 'spherical':
                    self._covars_ = np.tile(self._covars_.mean(1)[:, None],
                                            (1, self._covars_.shape[1]))
            elif self.covariance_type in ('tied', 'full'):
                c_n = np.empty((self.n_components, self.n_features,
                                self.n_features))
                for c in range(self.n_components):
                    obsmean = np.outer(stats['obs'][c], self.means_[c])
                    c_n[c] = (means_weight * np.outer(meandiff[c],
                                                      meandiff[c])
                              + stats['obs*obs.T'][c]
                              - obsmean - obsmean.T
                              + np.outer(self.means_[c], self.means_[c])
                              * stats['post'][c])
                cvweight = max(covars_weight - self.n_features, 0)
                if self.covariance_type == 'tied':
                    self._covars_ = ((covars_prior + c_n.sum(axis=0)) /
                                     (cvweight + stats['post'].sum()))
                elif self.covariance_type == 'full':
                    self._covars_ = ((covars_prior + c_n) /
                                     (cvweight + stats['post'][:, None, None]))


class GMMHMM(_emissions.BaseGMMHMM):
    """
    Hidden Markov Model with Gaussian mixture emissions.

    Attributes
    ----------
    monitor_ : ConvergenceMonitor
        Monitor object used to check the convergence of EM.

    startprob_ : array, shape (n_components, )
        Initial state occupation distribution.

    transmat_ : array, shape (n_components, n_components)
        Matrix of transition probabilities between states.

    weights_ : array, shape (n_components, n_mix)
        Mixture weights for each state.

    means_ : array, shape (n_components, n_mix, n_features)
        Mean parameters for each mixture component in each state.

    covars_ : array
        Covariance parameters for each mixture components in each state.

        The shape depends on :attr:`covariance_type`:

        * (n_components, n_mix)                          if "spherical",
        * (n_components, n_mix, n_features)              if "diag",
        * (n_components, n_mix, n_features, n_features)  if "full"
        * (n_components, n_features, n_features)         if "tied".
    """

    def __init__(self, n_components=1, n_mix=1,
                 min_covar=1e-3, startprob_prior=1.0, transmat_prior=1.0,
                 weights_prior=1.0, means_prior=0.0, means_weight=0.0,
                 covars_prior=None, covars_weight=None,
                 algorithm="viterbi", covariance_type="diag",
                 random_state=None, n_iter=10, tol=1e-2,
                 verbose=False, params="stmcw",
                 init_params="stmcw",
                 implementation="log"):
        """
        Parameters
        ----------
        n_components : int
            Number of states in the model.

        n_mix : int
            Number of states in the GMM.

        covariance_type : {"sperical", "diag", "full", "tied"}, optional
            The type of covariance parameters to use:

            * "spherical" --- each state uses a single variance value that
              applies to all features.
            * "diag" --- each state uses a diagonal covariance matrix
              (default).
            * "full" --- each state uses a full (i.e. unrestricted)
              covariance matrix.
            * "tied" --- all mixture components of each state use **the same**
              full covariance matrix (note that this is not the same as for
              `GaussianHMM`).

        min_covar : float, optional
            Floor on the diagonal of the covariance matrix to prevent
            overfitting. Defaults to 1e-3.

        startprob_prior : array, shape (n_components, ), optional
            Parameters of the Dirichlet prior distribution for
            :attr:`startprob_`.

        transmat_prior : array, shape (n_components, n_components), optional
            Parameters of the Dirichlet prior distribution for each row
            of the transition probabilities :attr:`transmat_`.

        weights_prior : array, shape (n_mix, ), optional
            Parameters of the Dirichlet prior distribution for
            :attr:`weights_`.

        means_prior, means_weight : array, shape (n_mix, ), optional
            Mean and precision of the Normal prior distribtion for
            :attr:`means_`.

        covars_prior, covars_weight : array, shape (n_mix, ), optional
            Parameters of the prior distribution for the covariance matrix
            :attr:`covars_`.

            If :attr:`covariance_type` is "spherical" or "diag" the prior is
            the inverse gamma distribution, otherwise --- the inverse Wishart
            distribution.

        algorithm : {"viterbi", "map"}, optional
            Decoder algorithm.

            - "viterbi": finds the most likely sequence of states, given all
              emissions.
            - "map" (also known as smoothing or forward-backward): finds the
              sequence of the individual most-likely states, given all
              emissions.

        random_state: RandomState or an int seed, optional
            A random number generator instance.

        n_iter : int, optional
            Maximum number of iterations to perform.

        tol : float, optional
            Convergence threshold. EM will stop if the gain in log-likelihood
            is below this value.

        verbose : bool, optional
            Whether per-iteration convergence reports are printed to
            :data:`sys.stderr`.  Convergence can also be diagnosed using the
            :attr:`monitor_` attribute.

        params, init_params : string, optional
            The parameters that get updated during (``params``) or initialized
            before (``init_params``) the training.  Can contain any combination
            of 's' for startprob, 't' for transmat, 'm' for means, 'c'
            for covars, and 'w' for GMM mixing weights.  Defaults to all
            parameters.

        implementation : string, optional
            Determines if the forward-backward algorithm is implemented with
            logarithms ("log"), or using scaling ("scaling").  The default is
            to use logarithms for backwards compatability.
        """
        BaseHMM.__init__(self, n_components,
                         startprob_prior=startprob_prior,
                         transmat_prior=transmat_prior,
                         algorithm=algorithm, random_state=random_state,
                         n_iter=n_iter, tol=tol, verbose=verbose,
                         params=params, init_params=init_params,
                         implementation=implementation)
        self.covariance_type = covariance_type
        self.min_covar = min_covar
        self.n_mix = n_mix
        self.weights_prior = weights_prior
        self.means_prior = means_prior
        self.means_weight = means_weight
        self.covars_prior = covars_prior
        self.covars_weight = covars_weight

    def _init(self, X, lengths=None):
        super()._init(X, lengths=None)
        nc = self.n_components
        nf = self.n_features
        nm = self.n_mix

        def compute_cv():
            return np.cov(X.T) + self.min_covar * np.eye(nf)

        # Default values for covariance prior parameters
        self._init_covar_priors()
        self._fix_priors_shape()

        main_kmeans = cluster.KMeans(n_clusters=nc,
                                     random_state=self.random_state,
                                     n_init=10)  # sklearn >=1.2 compat.
        cv = None  # covariance matrix
        labels = main_kmeans.fit_predict(X)
        main_centroid = np.mean(main_kmeans.cluster_centers_, axis=0)
        means = []
        for label in range(nc):
            kmeans = cluster.KMeans(n_clusters=nm,
                                    random_state=self.random_state,
                                    n_init=10)  # sklearn >=1.2 compat.
            X_cluster = X[np.where(labels == label)]
            if X_cluster.shape[0] >= nm:
                kmeans.fit(X_cluster)
                means.append(kmeans.cluster_centers_)
            else:
                if cv is None:
                    cv = compute_cv()
                m_cluster = np.random.multivariate_normal(main_centroid,
                                                          cov=cv,
                                                          size=nm)
                means.append(m_cluster)

        if self._needs_init("w", "weights_"):
            self.weights_ = np.full((nc, nm), 1 / nm)

        if self._needs_init("m", "means_"):
            self.means_ = np.stack(means)

        if self._needs_init("c", "covars_"):
            if cv is None:
                cv = compute_cv()
            if not cv.shape:
                cv.shape = (1, 1)
            if self.covariance_type == 'tied':
                self.covars_ = np.zeros((nc, nf, nf))
                self.covars_[:] = cv
            elif self.covariance_type == 'full':
                self.covars_ = np.zeros((nc, nm, nf, nf))
                self.covars_[:] = cv
            elif self.covariance_type == 'diag':
                self.covars_ = np.zeros((nc, nm, nf))
                self.covars_[:] = np.diag(cv)
            elif self.covariance_type == 'spherical':
                self.covars_ = np.zeros((nc, nm))
                self.covars_[:] = cv.mean()

    def _init_covar_priors(self):
        if self.covariance_type == "full":
            if self.covars_prior is None:
                self.covars_prior = 0.0
            if self.covars_weight is None:
                self.covars_weight = -(1.0 + self.n_features + 1.0)
        elif self.covariance_type == "tied":
            if self.covars_prior is None:
                self.covars_prior = 0.0
            if self.covars_weight is None:
                self.covars_weight = -(self.n_mix + self.n_features + 1.0)
        elif self.covariance_type == "diag":
            if self.covars_prior is None:
                self.covars_prior = -1.5
            if self.covars_weight is None:
                self.covars_weight = 0.0
        elif self.covariance_type == "spherical":
            if self.covars_prior is None:
                self.covars_prior = -(self.n_mix + 2.0) / 2.0
            if self.covars_weight is None:
                self.covars_weight = 0.0

    def _fix_priors_shape(self):
        nc = self.n_components
        nf = self.n_features
        nm = self.n_mix

        # If priors are numbers, this function will make them into a
        # matrix of proper shape
        self.weights_prior = np.broadcast_to(
            self.weights_prior, (nc, nm)).copy()
        self.means_prior = np.broadcast_to(
            self.means_prior, (nc, nm, nf)).copy()
        self.means_weight = np.broadcast_to(
            self.means_weight, (nc, nm)).copy()

        if self.covariance_type == "full":
            self.covars_prior = np.broadcast_to(
                self.covars_prior, (nc, nm, nf, nf)).copy()
            self.covars_weight = np.broadcast_to(
                self.covars_weight, (nc, nm)).copy()
        elif self.covariance_type == "tied":
            self.covars_prior = np.broadcast_to(
                self.covars_prior, (nc, nf, nf)).copy()
            self.covars_weight = np.broadcast_to(
                self.covars_weight, nc).copy()
        elif self.covariance_type == "diag":
            self.covars_prior = np.broadcast_to(
                self.covars_prior, (nc, nm, nf)).copy()
            self.covars_weight = np.broadcast_to(
                self.covars_weight, (nc, nm, nf)).copy()
        elif self.covariance_type == "spherical":
            self.covars_prior = np.broadcast_to(
                self.covars_prior, (nc, nm)).copy()
            self.covars_weight = np.broadcast_to(
                self.covars_weight, (nc, nm)).copy()

    def _check(self):
        super()._check()
        if not hasattr(self, "n_features"):
            self.n_features = self.means_.shape[2]
        nc = self.n_components
        nf = self.n_features
        nm = self.n_mix

        self._init_covar_priors()
        self._fix_priors_shape()

        # Checking covariance type
        if self.covariance_type not in COVARIANCE_TYPES:
            raise ValueError(
                f"covariance_type must be one of {COVARIANCE_TYPES}")

        self.weights_ = np.array(self.weights_)
        # Checking mixture weights' shape
        if self.weights_.shape != (nc, nm):
            raise ValueError(
                f"weights_ must have shape (n_components, n_mix), "
                f"actual shape: {self.weights_.shape}")

        # Checking mixture weights' mathematical correctness
        self._check_sum_1("weights_")

        # Checking means' shape
        self.means_ = np.array(self.means_)
        if self.means_.shape != (nc, nm, nf):
            raise ValueError(
                f"means_ must have shape (n_components, n_mix, n_features), "
                f"actual shape: {self.means_.shape}")

        # Checking covariances' shape
        self.covars_ = np.array(self.covars_)
        covars_shape = self.covars_.shape
        needed_shapes = {
            "spherical": (nc, nm),
            "tied": (nc, nf, nf),
            "diag": (nc, nm, nf),
            "full": (nc, nm, nf, nf),
        }
        needed_shape = needed_shapes[self.covariance_type]
        if covars_shape != needed_shape:
            raise ValueError(
                f"{self.covariance_type!r} mixture covars must have shape "
                f"{needed_shape}, actual shape: {covars_shape}")

        # Checking covariances' mathematical correctness
        if (self.covariance_type == "spherical" or
                self.covariance_type == "diag"):
            if np.any(self.covars_ < 0):
                raise ValueError(f"{self.covariance_type!r} mixture covars "
                                 f"must be non-negative")
            if np.any(self.covars_ == 0):
                _log.warning("Degenerate mixture covariance")
        elif self.covariance_type == "tied":
            for i, covar in enumerate(self.covars_):
                if not np.allclose(covar, covar.T):
                    raise ValueError(
                        f"Covariance of state #{i} is not symmetric")
                min_eigvalsh = linalg.eigvalsh(covar).min()
                if min_eigvalsh < 0:
                    raise ValueError(
                        f"Covariance of state #{i} is not positive definite")
                if min_eigvalsh == 0:
                    _log.warning("Covariance of state #%d has a null "
                                 "eigenvalue.", i)
        elif self.covariance_type == "full":
            for i, mix_covars in enumerate(self.covars_):
                for j, covar in enumerate(mix_covars):
                    if not np.allclose(covar, covar.T):
                        raise ValueError(
                            f"Covariance of state #{i}, mixture #{j} is not "
                            f"symmetric")
                    min_eigvalsh = linalg.eigvalsh(covar).min()
                    if min_eigvalsh < 0:
                        raise ValueError(
                            f"Covariance of state #{i}, mixture #{j} is not "
                            f"positive definite")
                    if min_eigvalsh == 0:
                        _log.warning("Covariance of state #%d, mixture #%d "
                                     "has a null eigenvalue.", i, j)

    def _do_mstep(self, stats):
        super()._do_mstep(stats)
        nf = self.n_features
        nm = self.n_mix

        # Maximizing weights
        if 'w' in self.params:
            alphas_minus_one = self.weights_prior - 1
            w_n = stats['post_mix_sum'] + alphas_minus_one
            w_d = (stats['post_sum'] + alphas_minus_one.sum(axis=1))[:, None]
            self.weights_ = w_n / w_d

        # Maximizing means
        if 'm' in self.params:
            m_n = stats['m_n']
            m_d = stats['post_mix_sum'] + self.means_weight
            # If a componenent has zero weight, then replace nan (0/0?) means
            # by 0 (0/1).  The actual value is irrelevant as the component will
            # be unused.  This needs to be done before maximizing covariances
            # as nans would otherwise propagate to other components if
            # covariances are tied.
            m_d[(self.weights_ == 0) & (m_n == 0).all(axis=-1)] = 1
            self.means_ = m_n / m_d[:, :, None]

        # Maximizing covariances
        if 'c' in self.params:
            lambdas, mus = self.means_weight, self.means_prior
            centered_means = self.means_ - mus

            def outer_f(x):  # Outer product over features.
                return x[..., :, None] * x[..., None, :]

            if self.covariance_type == 'full':
                centered_means_dots = outer_f(centered_means)

                psis_t = np.transpose(self.covars_prior, axes=(0, 1, 3, 2))
                nus = self.covars_weight

                c_n = psis_t + lambdas[:, :, None, None] * centered_means_dots
                c_n += stats['c_n']
                c_d = (
                    stats['post_mix_sum'] + 1 + nus + nf + 1
                )[:, :, None, None]

            elif self.covariance_type == 'diag':
                alphas = self.covars_prior
                betas = self.covars_weight
                centered_means2 = centered_means ** 2

                c_n = lambdas[:, :, None] * centered_means2 + 2 * betas
                c_n += stats['c_n']
                c_d = stats['post_mix_sum'][:, :, None] + 1 + 2 * (alphas + 1)

            elif self.covariance_type == 'spherical':
                centered_means_norm2 = np.einsum(  # Faster than (x**2).sum(-1)
                    '...i,...i', centered_means, centered_means)

                alphas = self.covars_prior
                betas = self.covars_weight

                c_n = lambdas * centered_means_norm2 + 2 * betas
                c_n += stats['c_n']
                c_d = nf * (stats['post_mix_sum'] + 1) + 2 * (alphas + 1)

            elif self.covariance_type == 'tied':
                centered_means_dots = outer_f(centered_means)

                psis_t = np.transpose(self.covars_prior, axes=(0, 2, 1))
                nus = self.covars_weight

                c_n = np.einsum('ij,ijkl->ikl',
                                lambdas, centered_means_dots) + psis_t
                c_n += stats['c_n']
                c_d = (stats['post_sum'] + nm + nus + nf + 1)[:, None, None]

            self.covars_ = c_n / c_d


class MultinomialHMM(_emissions.BaseMultinomialHMM):
    """
    Hidden Markov Model with multinomial emissions.

    Attributes
    ----------
    n_features : int
        Number of possible symbols emitted by the model (in the samples).

    monitor_ : ConvergenceMonitor
        Monitor object used to check the convergence of EM.

    startprob_ : array, shape (n_components, )
        Initial state occupation distribution.

    transmat_ : array, shape (n_components, n_components)
        Matrix of transition probabilities between states.

    emissionprob_ : array, shape (n_components, n_features)
        Probability of emitting a given symbol when in each state.

    Examples
    --------
    >>> from hmmlearn.hmm import MultinomialHMM
    """

    def __init__(self, n_components=1, n_trials=None,
                 startprob_prior=1.0, transmat_prior=1.0,
                 algorithm="viterbi", random_state=None,
                 n_iter=10, tol=1e-2, verbose=False,
                 params="ste", init_params="ste",
                 implementation="log"):
        """
        Parameters
        ----------
        n_components : int
            Number of states.

        n_trials : int or array of int
            Number of trials (when sampling, all samples must have the same
            :attr:`n_trials`).

        startprob_prior : array, shape (n_components, ), optional
            Parameters of the Dirichlet prior distribution for
            :attr:`startprob_`.

        transmat_prior : array, shape (n_components, n_components), optional
            Parameters of the Dirichlet prior distribution for each row
            of the transition probabilities :attr:`transmat_`.

        algorithm : {"viterbi", "map"}, optional
            Decoder algorithm.

            - "viterbi": finds the most likely sequence of states, given all
              emissions.
            - "map" (also known as smoothing or forward-backward): finds the
              sequence of the individual most-likely states, given all
              emissions.

        random_state: RandomState or an int seed, optional
            A random number generator instance.

        n_iter : int, optional
            Maximum number of iterations to perform.

        tol : float, optional
            Convergence threshold. EM will stop if the gain in log-likelihood
            is below this value.

        verbose : bool, optional
            Whether per-iteration convergence reports are printed to
            :data:`sys.stderr`.  Convergence can also be diagnosed using the
            :attr:`monitor_` attribute.

        params, init_params : string, optional
            The parameters that get updated during (``params``) or initialized
            before (``init_params``) the training.  Can contain any
            combination of 's' for startprob, 't' for transmat, and 'e' for
            emissionprob.  Defaults to all parameters.

        implementation : string, optional
            Determines if the forward-backward algorithm is implemented with
            logarithms ("log"), or using scaling ("scaling").  The default is
            to use logarithms for backwards compatability.
        """
        BaseHMM.__init__(self, n_components,
                         startprob_prior=startprob_prior,
                         transmat_prior=transmat_prior,
                         algorithm=algorithm,
                         random_state=random_state,
                         n_iter=n_iter, tol=tol, verbose=verbose,
                         params=params, init_params=init_params,
                         implementation=implementation)
        self.n_trials = n_trials

        _log.warning(
            "MultinomialHMM has undergone major changes. "
            "The previous version was implementing a CategoricalHMM "
            "(a special case of MultinomialHMM). "
            "This new implementation follows the standard definition for "
            "a Multinomial distribution (e.g. as in "
            "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multinomial_distribution). "
            "See these issues for details:\n"
            "https://github.com/hmmlearn/hmmlearn/issues/335\n"
            "https://github.com/hmmlearn/hmmlearn/issues/340")

    def _init(self, X, lengths=None):
        super()._init(X, lengths=None)
        self.random_state = check_random_state(self.random_state)
        if 'e' in self.init_params:
            self.emissionprob_ = self.random_state \
                .rand(self.n_components, self.n_features)
            normalize(self.emissionprob_, axis=1)

    def _check(self):
        super()._check()
        self.emissionprob_ = np.atleast_2d(self.emissionprob_)
        n_features = getattr(self, "n_features", self.emissionprob_.shape[1])
        if self.emissionprob_.shape != (self.n_components, n_features):
            raise ValueError(
                "emissionprob_ must have shape (n_components, n_features)")
        else:
            self.n_features = n_features
        if self.n_trials is None:
            raise ValueError("n_trials must be set")

    def _do_mstep(self, stats):
        super()._do_mstep(stats)
        if 'e' in self.params:
            self.emissionprob_ = (
                stats['obs'] / stats['obs'].sum(axis=1, keepdims=True))


class PoissonHMM(_emissions.BasePoissonHMM):
    """
    Hidden Markov Model with Poisson emissions.

    Attributes
    ----------
    monitor_ : ConvergenceMonitor
        Monitor object used to check the convergence of EM.

    startprob_ : array, shape (n_components, )
        Initial state occupation distribution.

    transmat_ : array, shape (n_components, n_components)
        Matrix of transition probabilities between states.

    lambdas_ : array, shape (n_components, n_features)
        The expectation value of the waiting time parameters for each
        feature in a given state.
    """

    def __init__(self, n_components=1, startprob_prior=1.0,
                 transmat_prior=1.0, lambdas_prior=0.0,
                 lambdas_weight=0.0,
                 algorithm="viterbi", random_state=None,
                 n_iter=10, tol=1e-2, verbose=False,
                 params="stl", init_params="stl",
                 implementation="log"):
        """
        Parameters
        ----------
        n_components : int
            Number of states.

        startprob_prior : array, shape (n_components, ), optional
            Parameters of the Dirichlet prior distribution for
            :attr:`startprob_`.

        transmat_prior : array, shape (n_components, n_components), optional
            Parameters of the Dirichlet prior distribution for each row
            of the transition probabilities :attr:`transmat_`.

        lambdas_prior, lambdas_weight : array, shape (n_components,), optional
            The gamma prior on the lambda values using alpha-beta notation,
            respectivley. If None, will be set based on the method of
            moments.

        algorithm : {"viterbi", "map"}, optional
            Decoder algorithm.

            - "viterbi": finds the most likely sequence of states, given all
              emissions.
            - "map" (also known as smoothing or forward-backward): finds the
              sequence of the individual most-likely states, given all
              emissions.

        random_state: RandomState or an int seed, optional
            A random number generator instance.

        n_iter : int, optional
            Maximum number of iterations to perform.

        tol : float, optional
            Convergence threshold. EM will stop if the gain in log-likelihood
            is below this value.

        verbose : bool, optional
            Whether per-iteration convergence reports are printed to
            :data:`sys.stderr`.  Convergence can also be diagnosed using the
            :attr:`monitor_` attribute.

        params, init_params : string, optional
            The parameters that get updated during (``params``) or initialized
            before (``init_params``) the training.  Can contain any
            combination of 's' for startprob, 't' for transmat, and 'l' for
            lambdas.  Defaults to all parameters.

        implementation : string, optional
            Determines if the forward-backward algorithm is implemented with
            logarithms ("log"), or using scaling ("scaling").  The default is
            to use logarithms for backwards compatability.
        """
        BaseHMM.__init__(self, n_components,
                         startprob_prior=startprob_prior,
                         transmat_prior=transmat_prior,
                         algorithm=algorithm,
                         random_state=random_state,
                         n_iter=n_iter, tol=tol, verbose=verbose,
                         params=params, init_params=init_params,
                         implementation=implementation)
        self.lambdas_prior = lambdas_prior
        self.lambdas_weight = lambdas_weight

    def _init(self, X, lengths=None):
        super()._init(X, lengths)
        self.random_state = check_random_state(self.random_state)

        mean_X = X.mean()
        var_X = X.var()

        if self._needs_init("l", "lambdas_"):
            # initialize with method of moments based on X
            self.lambdas_ = self.random_state.gamma(
                shape=mean_X**2 / var_X,
                scale=var_X / mean_X,  # numpy uses theta = 1 / beta
                size=(self.n_components, self.n_features))

    def _check(self):
        super()._check()

        self.lambdas_ = np.atleast_2d(self.lambdas_)
        n_features = getattr(self, "n_features", self.lambdas_.shape[1])
        if self.lambdas_.shape != (self.n_components, n_features):
            raise ValueError(
                "lambdas_ must have shape (n_components, n_features)")
        self.n_features = n_features

    def _do_mstep(self, stats):
        super()._do_mstep(stats)

        if 'l' in self.params:
            # Based on: Hyvönen & Tolonen, "Bayesian Inference 2019"
            # section 3.2
            # https://vioshyvo.github.io/Bayesian_inference
            alphas, betas = self.lambdas_prior, self.lambdas_weight
            n = stats['post'].sum()
            y_bar = stats['obs'] / stats['post'][:, None]
            # the same as kappa notation (more intuitive) but avoids divide by
            # 0, where:
            # kappas = betas / (betas + n)
            # self.lambdas_ = kappas * (alphas / betas) + (1 - kappas) * y_bar
            self.lambdas_ = (alphas + n * y_bar) / (betas + n)