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# pylint: disable-msg=E1101
"""
Wrapper to lowess and stl routines.
LOWESS:
Initial Fortran code available at:
http://netlib.bell-labs.com/netlib/go/lowess.f.gz
initial author: W. S. Cleveland, 1979.
Simple to double precision conversion of the Fortran code by Pierre
Gerard-Marchant, 2007/03.
STL:
Initial Fortran code available at:
http://netlib.bell-labs.com/netlib/a/stl.gz
Initial Authors: R. B. Cleveland, W. S. Cleveland, J. E. McRae, and
I. Terpenning, 1990.
Simple-to-double precision conversion of the Fortran code by Pierre
Gerard-Marchant, 2007/03.
LOESS:
Initial C/Fortran package avialable at
http://netlib.bell-labs.com/netlib/a/dloess.gz
Initial authors: W. S. Cleveland, E. Grosse and Shyu
Adaptation to Pyrex/Python by Pierre Gerard-Marchant, 2007/03
:author: Pierre GF Gerard-Marchant
:contact: pierregm_at_uga_edu
:date: $Date: 2007-03-26 23:38:36 -0700 (Mon, 26 Mar 2007) $
:version: $Id: pyloess.py 2874 2007-03-27 06:38:36Z pierregm $
"""
__author__ = "Pierre GF Gerard-Marchant ($Author: pierregm $)"
__version__ = '1.0'
__revision__ = "$Revision: 2874 $"
__date__ = '$Date: 2007-03-26 23:38:36 -0700 (Mon, 26 Mar 2007) $'
import numpy
from numpy import bool_, complex_, float_, int_, str_, object_
import numpy.core.numeric as numeric
from numpy.core.records import recarray
from numpy.core import array as narray
from numpy.core import empty as nempty
import _lowess, _stl, _loess
#####---------------------------------------------------------------------------
#--- --- STL ---
#####---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def flowess(x,y,span=0.5,nsteps=2,delta=0):
"""Performs a robust locally weighted regression (lowess).
Outputs a *3xN* array of fitted values, residuals and fit weights.
:Parameters:
x : ndarray
Abscissas of the points on the scatterplot; the values in X must be
ordered from smallest to largest.
y : ndarray
Ordinates of the points on the scatterplot.
span : Float *[0.5]*
Fraction of the total number of points used to compute each fitted value.
As f increases the smoothed values become smoother. Choosing f in the range
.2 to .8 usually results in a good fit.
nsteps : Integer *[2]*
Number of iterations in the robust fit. If nsteps=0, the nonrobust fit
is returned; setting nsteps=2 should serve most purposes.
delta : Integer *[0]*
Nonnegative parameter which may be used to save computations.
If N (the number of elements in x) is less than 100, set delta=0.0;
if N is greater than 100 you should find out how delta works by reading
the additional instructions section.
:Returns:
A recarray of smoothed values ('smooth'), residuals ('residuals') and local
robust weights ('weights').
Additional instructions
-----------------------
Fro the original author:
DELTA can be used to save computations. Very roughly the
algorithm is this: on the initial fit and on each of the
NSTEPS iterations locally weighted regression fitted values
are computed at points in X which are spaced, roughly, DELTA
apart; then the fitted values at the remaining points are
computed using linear interpolation. The first locally
weighted regression (l.w.r.) computation is carried out at
X(1) and the last is carried out at X(N). Suppose the
l.w.r. computation is carried out at X(I). If X(I+1) is
greater than or equal to X(I)+DELTA, the next l.w.r.
computation is carried out at X(I+1). If X(I+1) is less
than X(I)+DELTA, the next l.w.r. computation is carried out
at the largest X(J) which is greater than or equal to X(I)
but is not greater than X(I)+DELTA. Then the fitted values
for X(K) between X(I) and X(J), if there are any, are
computed by linear interpolation of the fitted values at
X(I) and X(J). If N is less than 100 then DELTA can be set
to 0.0 since the computation time will not be too great.
For larger N it is typically not necessary to carry out the
l.w.r. computation for all points, so that much computation
time can be saved by taking DELTA to be greater than 0.0.
If DELTA = Range (X)/k then, if the values in X were
uniformly scattered over the range, the full l.w.r.
computation would be carried out at approximately k points.
Taking k to be 50 often works well.
Method
------
The fitted values are computed by using the nearest neighbor
routine and robust locally weighted regression of degree 1
with the tricube weight function. A few additional features
have been added. Suppose r is FN truncated to an integer.
Let h be the distance to the r-th nearest neighbor
from X[i]. All points within h of X[i] are used. Thus if
the r-th nearest neighbor is exactly the same distance as
other points, more than r points can possibly be used for
the smooth at X[i]. There are two cases where robust
locally weighted regression of degree 0 is actually used at
X[i]. One case occurs when h is 0.0. The second case
occurs when the weighted standard error of the X[i] with
respect to the weights w[j] is less than .001 times the
range of the X[i], where w[j] is the weight assigned to the
j-th point of X (the tricube weight times the robustness
weight) divided by the sum of all of the weights. Finally,
if the w[j] are all zero for the smooth at X[i], the fitted
value is taken to be Y[i].
References
----------
W. S. Cleveland. 1978. Visual and Computational Considerations in
Smoothing Scatterplots by Locally Weighted Regression. In
Computer Science and Statistics: Eleventh Annual Symposium on the
Interface, pages 96-100. Institute of Statistics, North Carolina
State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, 1978.
W. S. Cleveland, 1979. Robust Locally Weighted Regression and
Smoothing Scatterplots. Journal of the American Statistical
Association, 74:829-836, 1979.
W. S. Cleveland, 1981. LOWESS: A Program for Smoothing Scatterplots
by Robust Locally Weighted Regression. The American Statistician,
35:54.
"""
x = narray(x, copy=False, subok=True, dtype=float_)
y = narray(y, copy=False, subok=True, dtype=float_)
if x.size != y.size:
raise ValueError("Incompatible size between observations and response!")
out_dtype = [('smooth',float_), ('weigths', float_), ('residuals', float_)]
return numeric.fromiter(zip(*_lowess.lowess(x,y,span,nsteps,delta,)),
dtype=out_dtype).view(recarray)
class lowess:
"""An object for robust locally weighted regression.
:IVariables:
inputs : An object storing the inputs.
x : A (n,) ndarray of observations (sorted by increasing values).
y : A (n,) ndarray of responses (sorted by increasing x).
parameters : An object storing the control parameters.
span : Fraction of the total number of points used in the smooth.
nsteps : Number of iterations of the robust fit.
delta : Parameter used to save computation time
outputs : An object storing the outputs.
smooth : A (n,) ndarray of fitted values.
residuals : A (n,) ndarray of fitted residuals.
weights : A (n,) ndarray of robust weights.
Method
------
The fitted values are computed by using the nearest neighbor
routine and robust locally weighted regression of degree 1
with the tricube weight function. A few additional features
have been added. Suppose r is FN truncated to an integer.
Let h be the distance to the r-th nearest neighbor
from X[i]. All points within h of X[i] are used. Thus if
the r-th nearest neighbor is exactly the same distance as
other points, more than r points can possibly be used for
the smooth at X[i]. There are two cases where robust
locally weighted regression of degree 0 is actually used at
X[i]. One case occurs when h is 0.0. The second case
occurs when the weighted standard error of the X[i] with
respect to the weights w[j] is less than .001 times the
range of the X[i], where w[j] is the weight assigned to the
j-th point of X (the tricube weight times the robustness
weight) divided by the sum of all of the weights. Finally,
if the w[j] are all zero for the smooth at X[i], the fitted
value is taken to be Y[i].
References
----------
W. S. Cleveland. 1978. Visual and Computational Considerations in
Smoothing Scatterplots by Locally Weighted Regression. In
Computer Science and Statistics: Eleventh Annual Symposium on the
Interface, pages 96-100. Institute of Statistics, North Carolina
State University, Raleigh, North Carolina, 1978.
W. S. Cleveland, 1979. Robust Locally Weighted Regression and
Smoothing Scatterplots. Journal of the American Statistical
Association, 74:829-836, 1979.
W. S. Cleveland, 1981. LOWESS: A Program for Smoothing Scatterplots
by Robust Locally Weighted Regression. The American Statistician,
35:54.
"""
#............................................
class _inputs(object):
"""Inputs of the lowess fit.
:IVariables:
x : ndarray
A (n,) float ndarray of observations (sorted by increasing values).
y : ndarray
A (n,) float ndarray of responses (sorted by increasing x).
"""
def __init__(self, x, y):
x = narray(x, copy=False, subok=True, dtype=float_).ravel()
y = narray(y, copy=False, subok=True, dtype=float_).ravel()
if x.size != y.size:
msg = "Incompatible size between observations (%s) and response (%s)!"
raise ValueError(msg % (x.size, y.size))
idx = x.argsort()
self._x = x[idx]
self._y = y[idx]
#.....
x = property(fget=lambda self:self._x)
y = property(fget=lambda self:self._y)
#............................................
class _parameters(object):
"""Parameters of the lowess fit.
:IVariables:
span : float *[0.5]*
Fraction of the total number of points used to compute each fitted value.
As f increases the smoothed values become smoother. Choosing f in the range
.2 to .8 usually results in a good fit.
nsteps : integer *[2]*
Number of iterations in the robust fit. If nsteps=0, the nonrobust fit
is returned; setting nsteps=2 should serve most purposes.
delta : integer *[0]*
Nonnegative parameter which may be used to save computations.
If N (the number of observations) is less than 100, set delta=0.0;
if N is greater than 100 you should find out how delta works by reading
the additional instructions section.
"""
def __init__(self, span, nsteps, delta, caller):
self.activated = False
self._span = span
self._nsteps = nsteps
self._delta = delta
self._caller = caller
#.....
def _get_span(self):
"Gets the current span."
return self._span
def _set_span(self, span):
"Sets the current span, and refit if needed."
if span <= 0 or span > 1:
raise ValueError("span should be between zero and one!")
self._span = span
if self.activated:
self._caller.fit()
span = property(fget=_get_span, fset=_set_span)
#.....
def _get_nsteps(self):
"Gets the current number of iterations."
return self._nsteps
def _set_nsteps(self, nsteps):
"Sets the current number of iterations, and refit if needed."
if nsteps < 0:
raise ValueError("nsteps should be positive!")
self._nsteps = nsteps
if self.activated:
self._caller.fit()
nsteps = property(fget=_get_nsteps, fset=_set_nsteps)
#.....
def _get_delta(self):
"Gets the current delta."
return self._delta
def _set_delta(self, delta):
"Sets the current delta, and refit if needed."
if delta < 0:
raise ValueError("delta should be positive!")
self._delta = delta
if self.activated:
self._caller.fit()
delta = property(fget=_get_delta, fset=_set_delta)
#............................................
class _outputs(object):
"""Outputs of the lowess fit.
:IVariables:
fitted_values : ndarray
A (n,) ndarray of fitted values (readonly).
fitted_residuals : ndarray
A (n,) ndarray of residuals (readonly).
weights : ndarray
A (n,) ndarray of robust weights (readonly).
"""
def __init__(self, n):
self._fval = nempty((n,), float_)
self._rw = nempty((n,), float_)
self._fres = nempty((n,), float_)
#.....
fitted_values = property(fget=lambda self:self._fval)
robust_weights = property(fget=lambda self:self._rw)
fitted_residuals = property(fget=lambda self:self._fres)
#............................................
def __init__(self, x, y, span=0.5, nsteps=2, delta=0):
"""
:Parameters:
x : ndarray
Abscissas of the points on the scatterplot; the values in X must be
ordered from smallest to largest.
y : ndarray
Ordinates of the points on the scatterplot.
span : Float *[0.5]*
Fraction of the total number of points used to compute each fitted value.
As span increases the smoothed values become smoother. Choosing span in
the range .2 to .8 usually results in a good fit.
nsteps : Integer *[2]*
Number of iterations in the robust fit. If nsteps=0, the nonrobust fit
is returned; setting nsteps=2 should serve most purposes.
delta : Integer *[0]*
Nonnegative parameter which may be used to save computations.
If N (the number of elements in x) is less than 100, set delta=0.0;
if N is greater than 100 you should find out how delta works by reading
the additional instructions section.
"""
# Chek the input data .........
# Initialize the attributes ...
self.inputs = lowess._inputs(x,y)
self.parameters = lowess._parameters(span, nsteps, delta, self)
self.outputs = lowess._outputs(self.inputs._x.size)
# Force a fit .................
self.fit()
#............................................
def fit(self):
"""Computes the lowess fit. Returns a lowess.outputs object."""
(x, y) = (self.inputs._x, self.inputs._y)
# Get the parameters .....
self.parameters.activated = True
f = self.parameters._span
nsteps = self.parameters._nsteps
delta = self.parameters._delta
(tmp_s, tmp_w, tmp_r) = _lowess.lowess(x, y, f, nsteps, delta)
# Process the outputs .....
#... set the values
self.outputs.fitted_values[:] = tmp_s.flat
self.outputs.robust_weights[:] = tmp_w.flat
self.outputs.fitted_residuals[:] = tmp_r.flat
# Clean up the mess .......
del(tmp_s, tmp_w, tmp_r)
return self.outputs
#####---------------------------------------------------------------------------
#--- --- STL ---
#####---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def stl(y, np=12, ns=7, nt=None, nl=13, isdeg=1, itdeg=1, ildeg=1,
nsjump=None,ntjump=None,nljump=None, robust=True, ni=None,no=None):
"""Decomposes a time series into seasonal and trend components.
:Parameters:
y : Numerical array
Time Series to be decomposed.
np : Integer *[12]*
Period of the seasonal component.
For example, if the time series is monthly with a yearly cycle, then
np=12.
ns : Integer *[7]*
Length of the seasonal smoother.
The value of ns should be an odd integer greater than or equal to 3.
A value ns>6 is recommended. As ns increases the values of the
seasonal component at a given point in the seasonal cycle (e.g., January
values of a monthly series with a yearly cycle) become smoother.
nt : Integer *[None]*
Length of the trend smoother.
The value of nt should be an odd integer greater than or equal to 3.
A value of nt between 1.5*np and 2*np is recommended. As nt increases,
the values of the trend component become smoother.
If nt is None, it is estimated as the smallest odd integer greater
or equal to (1.5*np)/[1-(1.5/ns)]
nl : Integer *[None]*
Length of the low-pass filter.
The value of nl should be an odd integer greater than or equal to 3.
The smallest odd integer greater than or equal to np is used by default.
isdeg : Integer *[1]*
Degree of locally-fitted polynomial in seasonal smoothing.
The value is 0 or 1.
itdeg : Integer *[1]*
Degree of locally-fitted polynomial in trend smoothing.
The value is 0 or 1.
ildeg : Integer *[1]*
Degree of locally-fitted polynomial in low-pass smoothing.
The value is 0 or 1.
nsjump : Integer *[None]*
Skipping value for seasonal smoothing.
The seasonal smoother skips ahead nsjump points and then linearly
interpolates in between. The value of nsjump should be a positive
integer; if nsjump=1, a seasonal smooth is calculated at all n points.
To make the procedure run faster, a reasonable choice for nsjump is
10%-20% of ns. By default, nsjump= 0.1*ns.
ntjump : Integer *[1]*
Skipping value for trend smoothing. If None, ntjump= 0.1*nt
nljump : Integer *[1]*
Skipping value for low-pass smoothing. If None, nljump= 0.1*nl
robust : Boolean *[True]*
Flag indicating whether robust fitting should be performed.
ni : Integer *[None]*
Number of loops for updating the seasonal and trend components.
The value of ni should be a positive integer.
See the next argument for advice on the choice of ni.
If ni is None, ni is set to 1 for robust fitting, to 5 otherwise.
no : Integer *[0]*
Number of iterations of robust fitting. The value of no should
be a nonnegative integer. If the data are well behaved without
outliers, then robustness iterations are not needed. In this case
set no=0, and set ni=2 to 5 depending on how much security
you want that the seasonal-trend looping converges.
If outliers are present then no=3 is a very secure value unless
the outliers are radical, in which case no=5 or even 10 might
be better. If no>0 then set ni to 1 or 2.
If None, then no is set to 15 for robust fitting, to 0 otherwise.
Returns:
A recarray of estimated trend values ('trend'), estimated seasonal
components ('seasonal'), local robust weights ('weights') and fit
residuals ('residuals').
The final local robust weights are all 1 if no=0.
Reference
---------
R. B. Cleveland, W. S. Cleveland, J. E. McRae and I. Terpenning.
1990. STL: A Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Procedure Based on LOESS
(with Discussion). Journal of Official Statistics, 6:3-73.
"""
ns = max(ns, 3)
if ns%2 == 0:
ns += 1
np = max(2, np)
if nt is None:
nt = max(int((1.5*np/(1.-1.5/ns))+0.5), 3)
if not nt%2:
nt += 1
if nl is None:
nl = max(3,np)
if not nl%2:
nl += 1
if nsjump is None:
nsjump = int(0.1*ns + 0.9)
if ntjump is None:
ntjump = int(0.1*nt + 0.9)
if nljump is None:
nljump = int(0.1*nl + 0.9)
if robust:
if ni is None:
ni = 1
if no is None:
no = 15
else:
if ni is None:
ni = 5
if no is None:
no = 0
if hasattr(y,'_mask') and numpy.any(y._mask):
raise ValueError,"Missing values should first be filled !"
y = numeric.array(y, subok=True, copy=False).ravel()
(rw,szn,trn,work) = _stl.stl(y,np,ns,nt,nl,isdeg,itdeg,ildeg,
nsjump,ntjump,nljump,ni,no,)
dtyp = [('trend', float_), ('seasonal', float_),
('residuals', float_), ('weights', float_)]
result = numeric.fromiter(zip(trn,szn,y-trn-szn,rw), dtype=dtyp)
return result.view(recarray)
#####---------------------------------------------------------------------------
#--- --- Loess ---
#####---------------------------------------------------------------------------
loess = _loess.loess
"""
loess : locally weighted estimates. Multi-variate version
:Keywords:
x : ndarray
A (n,p) ndarray of independent variables, with n the number of observations
and p the number of variables.
y : ndarray
A (n,) ndarray of observations
weights : ndarray
A (n,) ndarray of weights to be given to individual observations in the
sum of squared residuals that forms the local fitting criterion. If not
None, the weights should be non negative. If the different observations
have non-equal variances, the weights should be inversely proportional
to the variances.
By default, an unweighted fit is carried out (all the weights are one).
surface : string ["interpolate"]
Determines whether the fitted surface is computed directly at all points
("direct") or whether an interpolation method is used ("interpolate").
The default ("interpolate") is what most users should use unless special
circumstances warrant.
statistics : string ["approximate"]
Determines whether the statistical quantities are computed exactly
("exact") or approximately ("approximate"). "exact" should only be used
for testing the approximation in statistical development and is not meant
for routine usage because computation time can be horrendous.
trace_hat : string ["wait.to.decide"]
Determines how the trace of the hat matrix should be computed. The hat
matrix is used in the computation of the statistical quantities.
If "exact", an exact computation is done; this could be slow when the
number of observations n becomes large. If "wait.to.decide" is selected,
then a default is "exact" for n < 500 and "approximate" otherwise.
This option is only useful when the fitted surface is interpolated. If
surface is "exact", an exact computation is always done for the trace.
Setting trace_hat to "approximate" for large dataset will substantially
reduce the computation time.
iterations : integer
Number of iterations of the robust fitting method. If the family is
"gaussian", the number of iterations is set to 0.
cell : integer
Maximum cell size of the kd-tree. Suppose k = floor(n*cell*span),
where n is the number of observations, and span the smoothing parameter.
Then, a cell is further divided if the number of observations within it
is greater than or equal to k. This option is only used if the surface
is interpolated.
span : float [0.75]
Smoothing factor, as a fraction of the number of points to take into
account.
degree : integer [2]
Overall degree of locally-fitted polynomial. 1 is locally-linear
fitting and 2 is locally-quadratic fitting. Degree should be 2 at most.
normalize : boolean [True]
Determines whether the independent variables should be normalized.
If True, the normalization is performed by setting the 10% trimmed
standard deviation to one. If False, no normalization is carried out.
This option is only useful for more than one variable. For spatial
coordinates predictors or variables with a common scale, it should be
set to False.
family : string ["gaussian"]
Determines the assumed distribution of the errors. The values are
"gaussian" or "symmetric". If "gaussian" is selected, the fit is
performed with least-squares. If "symmetric" is selected, the fit
is performed robustly by redescending M-estimators.
parametric_flags : sequence [ [False]*p ]
Indicates which independent variables should be conditionally-parametric
(if there are two or more independent variables). The argument should
be a sequence of booleans, with the same size as the number of independent
variables, specified in the order of the predictor group ordered in x.
drop_square : sequence [ [False]* p]
When there are two or more independent variables and when a 2nd order
polynomial is used, "drop_square_flags" specifies those numeric predictors
whose squares should be dropped from the set of fitting variables.
The method of specification is the same as for parametric.
:Outputs:
fitted_values : ndarray
The (n,) ndarray of fitted values.
fitted_residuals : ndarray
The (n,) ndarray of fitted residuals (observations - fitted values).
enp : float
Equivalent number of parameters.
s : float
Estimate of the scale of residuals.
one_delta: float
Statistical parameter used in the computation of standard errors.
two_delta : float
Statistical parameter used in the computation of standard errors.
pseudovalues : ndarray
The (n,) ndarray of adjusted values of the response when robust estimation
is used.
trace_hat : float
Trace of the operator hat matrix.
diagonal :
Diagonal of the operator hat matrix.
robust : ndarray
The (n,) ndarray of robustness weights for robust fitting.
divisor : ndarray
The (p,) array of normalization divisors for numeric predictors.
newdata : ndarray
The (m,p) array of independent variables where the surface must be estimated.
values : ndarray
The (m,) ndarray of loess values evaluated at newdata
stderr : ndarray
The (m,) ndarray of the estimates of the standard error on the estimated
values.
residual_scale : float
Estimate of the scale of the residuals
df : integer
Degrees of freedom of the t-distribution used to compute pointwise
confidence intervals for the evaluated surface.
nest : integer
Number of new observations.
"""
loess_anova = _loess.anova
################################################################################
if __name__ == '__main__':
from maskedarray.testutils import assert_almost_equal
from maskedarray import masked_values
|