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/* -*- mode: c++; tab-width: 4; indent-tabs-mode: nil; c-basic-offset: 4 -*- */
/*
Copyright (C) 2015 Johannes Göttker-Schnetmann
Copyright (C) 2015 Klaus Spanderen
This file is part of QuantLib, a free-software/open-source library
for financial quantitative analysts and developers - http://quantlib.org/
QuantLib is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it
under the terms of the QuantLib license. You should have received a
copy of the license along with this program; if not, please email
<quantlib-dev@lists.sf.net>. The license is also available online at
<https://www.quantlib.org/license.shtml>.
This program is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT
ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS
FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the license for more details.
*/
/*! \file localvolendcalculator.cpp
\brief local volatility risk neutral terminal density calculation
*/
#include <ql/math/distributions/normaldistribution.hpp>
#include <ql/math/integrals/discreteintegrals.hpp>
#include <ql/math/integrals/gausslobattointegral.hpp>
#include <ql/math/interpolations/cubicinterpolation.hpp>
#include <ql/methods/finitedifferences/meshers/concentrating1dmesher.hpp>
#include <ql/methods/finitedifferences/meshers/fdmmeshercomposite.hpp>
#include <ql/methods/finitedifferences/meshers/predefined1dmesher.hpp>
#include <ql/methods/finitedifferences/operators/fdmlocalvolfwdop.hpp>
#include <ql/methods/finitedifferences/schemes/douglasscheme.hpp>
#include <ql/methods/finitedifferences/utilities/localvolrndcalculator.hpp>
#include <ql/quote.hpp>
#include <ql/termstructures/volatility/equityfx/localvoltermstructure.hpp>
#include <ql/termstructures/yieldtermstructure.hpp>
#include <ql/timegrid.hpp>
#include <utility>
namespace QuantLib {
LocalVolRNDCalculator::LocalVolRNDCalculator(
ext::shared_ptr<Quote> spot,
ext::shared_ptr<YieldTermStructure> rTS,
ext::shared_ptr<YieldTermStructure> qTS,
const ext::shared_ptr<LocalVolTermStructure>& localVol,
Size xGrid,
Size tGrid,
Real x0Density,
Real eps,
Size maxIter,
Time gaussianStepSize)
: xGrid_(xGrid), tGrid_(tGrid), x0Density_(x0Density), localVolProbEps_(eps), maxIter_(maxIter),
gaussianStepSize_(gaussianStepSize), spot_(std::move(spot)), localVol_(localVol),
rTS_(std::move(rTS)), qTS_(std::move(qTS)),
timeGrid_(new TimeGrid(localVol->maxTime(), tGrid)), xm_(tGrid),
pm_(new Matrix(tGrid, xGrid)) {
registerWith(spot_);
registerWith(rTS_);
registerWith(qTS_);
registerWith(localVol_);
}
LocalVolRNDCalculator::LocalVolRNDCalculator(ext::shared_ptr<Quote> spot,
ext::shared_ptr<YieldTermStructure> rTS,
ext::shared_ptr<YieldTermStructure> qTS,
ext::shared_ptr<LocalVolTermStructure> localVol,
const ext::shared_ptr<TimeGrid>& timeGrid,
Size xGrid,
Real x0Density,
Real eps,
Size maxIter,
Time gaussianStepSize)
: xGrid_(xGrid), tGrid_(timeGrid->size() - 1), x0Density_(x0Density), localVolProbEps_(eps),
maxIter_(maxIter), gaussianStepSize_(gaussianStepSize), spot_(std::move(spot)),
localVol_(std::move(localVol)), rTS_(std::move(rTS)), qTS_(std::move(qTS)),
timeGrid_(timeGrid), xm_(tGrid_), pm_(new Matrix(tGrid_, xGrid_)) {
registerWith(spot_);
registerWith(rTS_);
registerWith(qTS_);
registerWith(localVol_);
}
Real LocalVolRNDCalculator::pdf(Real x, Time t) const {
calculate();
QL_REQUIRE(t > 0, "positive time expected");
QL_REQUIRE(t <= timeGrid_->back(),
"given time exceeds local vol time grid");
const Time tMin = std::min(timeGrid_->at(1), 1.0/365);
if (t <= tMin) {
const Volatility vol = localVol_->localVol(0.0, spot_->value());
const Volatility stdDev = vol * std::sqrt(t);
const Real xm = - 0.5 * stdDev * stdDev +
std::log(spot_->value() * qTS_->discount(t)/rTS_->discount(t));
return GaussianDistribution(xm, stdDev)(x);
}
else if (t <= timeGrid_->at(1)) {
const Volatility vol = localVol_->localVol(0.0, spot_->value());
const Volatility stdDev = vol * std::sqrt(tMin);
const Real xm = - 0.5 * stdDev * stdDev +
std::log(spot_->value() * qTS_->discount(tMin)/rTS_->discount(tMin));
const GaussianDistribution gaussianPDF(xm, stdDev);
const Time deltaT = timeGrid_->at(1) - tMin;
return gaussianPDF(x)*(timeGrid_->at(1) - t)/deltaT
+ probabilityInterpolation(0, x)*(t - tMin)/deltaT;
}
else {
const auto lb
= std::lower_bound(timeGrid_->begin(), timeGrid_->end(), t);
const auto llb = lb-1;
const Size idx = std::distance(timeGrid_->begin(), lb)-1;
const Time deltaT = *lb - *llb;
return probabilityInterpolation(idx-1, x)*(*lb - t)/deltaT
+ probabilityInterpolation(idx, x)*(t - *llb)/deltaT;
}
}
Real LocalVolRNDCalculator::cdf(Real x, Time t) const {
calculate();
// get the left side of the integral
const Time tc = timeGrid_->closestTime(t);
const Size idx = (tc > t) ? timeGrid_->index(tc)-1
: std::min(xm_.size()-1, timeGrid_->index(tc));
Real xl = xm_[idx]->locations().front();
Real xr = xm_[idx]->locations().back();
if (x < xl)
return 0.0;
else if (x > xr)
return 1.0;
Real addition = 0.1*(xr-xl);
// left or right hand integral
if (x > 0.5*(xr+xl)) {
while (pdf(xr, t) > 0.01*localVolProbEps_)
{
addition*=1.1;
xr+=addition;
}
return 1.0-GaussLobattoIntegral(maxIter_, 0.1*localVolProbEps_)(
[&](Real _x){ return pdf(_x, t); }, x, xr);
}
else {
while (pdf(xl, t) > 0.01*localVolProbEps_)
{
addition*=1.1;
xl-=addition;
}
return GaussLobattoIntegral(maxIter_, 0.1*localVolProbEps_)(
[&](Real _x){ return pdf(_x, t); }, xl, x);
}
}
Real LocalVolRNDCalculator::invcdf(Real p, Time t) const {
calculate();
const Time closeGridTime(timeGrid_->closestTime(t));
if (closeGridTime == 0.0) {
const Real stepSize = 0.02*(
xm_[0]->locations().back() - xm_[0]->locations().front());
return RiskNeutralDensityCalculator::InvCDFHelper(
this, std::log(spot_->value()),
0.1*localVolProbEps_, maxIter_, stepSize).inverseCDF(p, t);
}
else {
Array xp(xGrid_);
const Size idx = timeGrid_->index(closeGridTime)-1;
const Array x(xm_[idx]->locations().begin(),
xm_[idx]->locations().end());
const Real stepSize = 0.005*(x.back() - x.front());
std::transform(x.begin(), x.end(), pm_->row_begin(idx), xp.begin(), std::multiplies<>());
const Real xm = DiscreteSimpsonIntegral()(x, xp);
return RiskNeutralDensityCalculator::InvCDFHelper(
this, xm, 0.1*localVolProbEps_, maxIter_, stepSize).inverseCDF(p, t);
}
}
ext::shared_ptr<Fdm1dMesher>
LocalVolRNDCalculator::mesher(Time t) const {
calculate();
const Size idx = timeGrid_->index(t);
QL_REQUIRE(idx <= xm_.size(), "inconsistent time " << t << " given");
if (idx > 0) {
return xm_[idx-1];
}
else {
return ext::make_shared<Predefined1dMesher>(
std::vector<Real>(xGrid_, std::log(spot_->value())));
}
}
ext::shared_ptr<TimeGrid> LocalVolRNDCalculator::timeGrid() const {
return timeGrid_;
}
void LocalVolRNDCalculator::performCalculations() const {
rescaleTimeSteps_.clear();
const Time sT = timeGrid_->at(1);
Time t = std::min(sT, (gaussianStepSize_ > 0.0) ? gaussianStepSize_
: 0.5*sT);
const Volatility vol = localVol_->localVol(0.0, spot_->value());
const Volatility stdDev = vol * std::sqrt(t);
Real xm = - 0.5 * stdDev * stdDev +
std::log(spot_->value() * qTS_->discount(t)/rTS_->discount(t));
const Volatility stdDevOfFirstStep = vol * std::sqrt(sT);
const Real normInvEps = InverseCumulativeNormal()(1 - localVolProbEps_);
Real sLowerBound = xm - normInvEps * stdDevOfFirstStep;
Real sUpperBound = xm + normInvEps * stdDevOfFirstStep;
ext::shared_ptr<Fdm1dMesher> mesher(
new Concentrating1dMesher(sLowerBound, sUpperBound, xGrid_,
std::make_pair(xm, x0Density_), true));
Array p(mesher->size());
Array x(mesher->locations().begin(), mesher->locations().end());
const GaussianDistribution gaussianPDF(xm, vol * std::sqrt(t));
for (Size idx=0; idx < p.size(); ++idx) {
p[idx] = gaussianPDF(x[idx]);
}
p = rescalePDF(x, p);
QL_REQUIRE(x.size() > 10, "x grid is too small. "
"Minimum size is greater than 10");
const Size b = std::max(Size(1), Size(x.size()*0.04));
ext::shared_ptr<DouglasScheme> evolver(
new DouglasScheme(0.5,
ext::make_shared<FdmLocalVolFwdOp>(
ext::make_shared<FdmMesherComposite>(mesher),
spot_, rTS_, qTS_, localVol_)));
pFct_.resize(tGrid_);
for (Size i=1; i <= tGrid_; ++i) {
const Time dt = timeGrid_->at(i) - t;
// leaking probability mass?
const Real maxLeftValue =
std::max(std::fabs(*std::min_element(p.begin(), p.begin()+b)),
std::fabs(*std::max_element(p.begin(), p.begin()+b)));
const Real maxRightValue =
std::max(std::fabs(*std::min_element(p.end()-b, p.end())),
std::fabs(*std::max_element(p.end()-b, p.end())));
if (std::max(maxLeftValue, maxRightValue) > localVolProbEps_) {
rescaleTimeSteps_.push_back(i);
const Real oldLowerBound = sLowerBound;
const Real oldUpperBound = sUpperBound;
xm = DiscreteSimpsonIntegral()(x, x*p);
Array vols(x.size());
for (Size j=0; j < vols.size(); ++j) {
vols[j] = localVol_->localVol(t + dt, std::exp(x[j]));
}
const Real vm = DiscreteSimpsonIntegral()(x, vols)
/(x.back() - x.front());
const Real scalingFactor = vm*std::sqrt(0.5*timeGrid_->back());
if (maxLeftValue > localVolProbEps_)
sLowerBound -= scalingFactor*(oldUpperBound-oldLowerBound);
if (maxRightValue > localVolProbEps_)
sUpperBound += scalingFactor*(oldUpperBound-oldLowerBound);
mesher = ext::shared_ptr<Fdm1dMesher>(
new Concentrating1dMesher(sLowerBound, sUpperBound, xGrid_,
std::make_pair(xm, 0.1), false));
const CubicNaturalSpline pSpline(x.begin(), x.end(), p.begin());
const Array xn(mesher->locations().begin(),
mesher->locations().end());
Array pn(xn.size(), 0.0);
for (Size j=0; j < xn.size(); ++j) {
if (xn[j] >= oldLowerBound && xn[j] <= oldUpperBound)
pn[j] = pSpline(xn[j]);
}
x = xn;
p = rescalePDF(xn, pn);
evolver = ext::make_shared<DouglasScheme>(0.5,
ext::make_shared<FdmLocalVolFwdOp>(
ext::make_shared<FdmMesherComposite>(mesher),
spot_, rTS_, qTS_, localVol_));
}
evolver->setStep(dt);
t+=dt;
if (dt > QL_EPSILON) {
evolver->step(p, t);
p = rescalePDF(x, p);
}
xm_[i-1] = mesher;
std::copy(p.begin(), p.end(), pm_->row_begin(i-1));
pFct_[i-1] = ext::make_shared<CubicNaturalSpline>(
xm_[i-1]->locations().begin(),
xm_[i-1]->locations().end(),
pm_->row_begin(i-1));
}
}
std::vector<Size> LocalVolRNDCalculator::rescaleTimeSteps() const {
calculate();
return rescaleTimeSteps_;
}
Real LocalVolRNDCalculator::probabilityInterpolation(
Size idx, Real x) const {
calculate();
if ( x < xm_[idx]->locations().front()
|| x > xm_[idx]->locations().back())
return 0.0;
else
return (*pFct_[idx])(x);
}
Array LocalVolRNDCalculator::rescalePDF(const Array& x, const Array& p) const {
return p/DiscreteSimpsonIntegral()(x, p);
}
}
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