1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553 554 555 556
|
#ifndef FORWARD_ALGORITHM_H
#define FORWARD_ALGORITHM_H
#include <tuple>
#include <array>
#include <TooN/TooN.h>
#include <vector>
#include <cmath>
/** Computes the natural logarithm, but returns -1e100 instead of inf
for an input of 0. This prevents trapping of FPU exceptions.
@param x \e x
@return ln \e x
@ingroup gUtility
*/
inline double ln(double x)
{
if(x == 0)
return -1e100;
else
return std::log(x);
}
/**
The forward algorithm is defined as:
\f{align}
\alpha_1(i) &= \pi_i b_i(O_1) \\
\alpha_t(j) &= b_j(O(t)) \sum_i \alpha_{t-1}(i) a_{ij}
\f}
And the probability of observing the data is just:
\f{equation}
P(O_1 \cdots O_T|\lambda) = P(O|\lambda) \sum_i \alpha_T(i),
\f}
where the state, \f$\lambda = \{ A, \pi, B \}\f$. All multipliers are much less
than 1, to \f$\alpha\f$ rapidly ends up as zero. Instead, store the logarithm:
\f{align}
\delta_t(i) &= \ln \alpha_t(i) \\
\delta_1(i) &= \ln \pi_i + \ln b_j(O_t)
\f}
and the recursion is:
\f{align}
\delta_t(j) &= \ln b_j(O_t) + \ln \sum_i \alpha_{t-1}(i) a_{ij} \\
&= \ln b_j(O_t) + \ln \sum_i e^{\delta_{t-1}(i) + \ln a_{ij}} \\
\f}
including an arbitrary constant, \f$Z_t(j)\f$ gives:
\f{align}
\delta_t(j) &= \ln b_j(O_t) + \ln \sum_i e^{Z_t(j)} e^{\delta_{t-1}(i) + \ln a_{ij} - Z_t(j)} \\
&= \ln b_j(O_t) + Z_t(j) + \ln \sum_i e^{\delta_{t-1}(i) + \ln a_{ij} - Z_t(j)}.
\f}
In order to prevent a loss of scale on the addition:
\f{equation}
Z_t(j) \overset{\text{def}}{=} \operatorname*{max}_i \delta_{t-1}(i) + \ln a_{ij},
\f}
so the largest exponent will be exactly 0. The final log probability is, similarly:
\f{equation}
\ln P(O|\lambda) = Z + \ln \sum_i e^{\delta_T(i) - Z},
\f}
\e Z can take any value, but to keep the numbers within a convenient range:
\f{equation}
Z \overset{\text{def}}{=} \operatorname*{max}_i \delta_T(i).
\f}
For computing derivatives, two useful results are:
\f{align}
\PD{}{x} \ln f(x) &= \frac{f'(x)}{f(x)}\\
\PD{}{x} e^{f(x)} &= f'(x) e^{f(x)}
\f}
There are \e M parameters of \e B, denoted \f$\phi_1 \ldots \phi_M\f$. The derivatives of \e P are:
\f{align}
\DD P(O|\lambda) &= \SSum \DD e^{\delta_T(i)} \\
&= \SSum e^{\delta_T(i)} \DD \delta_T(i)\\
\f}
Taking derivatives of \f$ \ln P\f$ and rearranging to get numerically more convenient
results gives:
\f{align}
\DD \ln P(O|\lambda) & = \frac{\DD P(O|\lambda)}{P(O|\lambda)} \\
& = \frac{\SSum e^{\delta_T(i)} \DD \delta_T(i)}{P(O|\lambda)}\\
& = \SSum e^{\delta_T(i) - \ln P(O|\lambda)} \DD \delta_T(i)
\f}
The derivarives of \f$\delta\f$ are:
\f{align}
\gdef\dtj{\delta_T(j)}
\PD{\dtj}{\en} &= \DD \ln \left[ b_j(O_t) \SSum e^{\delta_{t-1}(i) + \ln a_{ij}} \right] \\
&= \DD \left[ \ln b_j(O_t) \right] + \frac{\SSum \DD e^{\delta_{t-1}(i) + \ln a_{ij}}}{\SSum e^{\delta_{t-1}(i) + \ln a_{ij}}}\\
\underset{\text{\tt diff\_delta[t][j]}}{\underbrace{\PD{\dtj}{\en}}} &= \underset{\text{\tt B.diff\_log(j, O[t])}}{\underbrace{\DD \left[ \ln b_j(O_t) \right]}} +
\frac{\overset{\text{\tt sum\_top}}{\overbrace{\SSum e^{\delta_{t-1}(i) + \ln a_{ij} - Z_t(j)} \DD \delta_{t-1}(i)}}
}{\underset{\text{\tt sum}}{\underbrace{\SSum e^{\delta_{t-1}(i) + \ln a_{ij} -Z_t(j)}}}},
\f}
with \f$Z_t(j)\f$ as defined in ::forward_algorithm.
For computing second derivatives, with \f$\Grad\f$ yielding column vectors, two useful results are:
\f{align}
\Hess \ln f(\Vec{x}) & = \frac{\Hess f(\Vec{x})}{f(\Vec{x})} - \Grad f(\Vec{x}) \Grad f(\Vec{x})\Trn \\
\Hess e^f(\Vec{x}) & = e^{f(\Vec{x})}(\Grad f(\Vec{x}) \Grad f(\Vec{x})\Trn + \Hess f(\Vec{x})),
\f}
therefore:
\f{equation}
\Hess \ln P(O|\lambda) = \frac{\Hess f(\Vec{x})}{P(O|\lambda)} - \Grad P(O|\lambda) \Grad P(O|\lambda)\Trn,
\f}
and:
\f{equation}
\Hess P(O|\lambda) = \sum_i e^{\delta_t(i) - \ln P(O|\lambda)}\left[ \Grad\delta_t \Grad\delta_t\Trn + \Hess \delta_t\right].
\f}
Define \f$s_t(j)\f$ as:
\f{equation}
s_t(j) = \sum_i e^{\delta_{t-1}(j) + \ln a_{ij}}
\f}
so that:
\f{equation}
\delta_t(j) = \ln b_j(O_t) + \ln s_t(j).
\f}
The derivatives and Hessian recursion are therefore:
\f{align}
\Grad \delta_t(j) &= \Grad\ln b_j(O_t) + \frac{\Grad s_t(j)}{s_t(j)} \\
\Hess \delta_t(j) &= \Hess\ln b_j(O_t) + \frac{\Hess s_t(j)}{s_t(j)} - \frac{\Grad s_t(j)}{s_t(j)}\frac{\Grad s_t(j)}{s_t(j)}\Trn.\\
&= \underset{\text{\tt B.hess\_log(j, O[t])}}{\underbrace{\Hess\ln b_j(O_t)}} +
\frac{
\overset{\text{\tt sum\_top2}}{
\overbrace{
\sum_i e^{\delta_{t-1}(j) + \ln a_{ij} - Z_t(j)}\left[\Hess\delta_{t-1}(i) + \Grad\delta_{t-1}(i)\Grad\delta_{t-1}(i)\Trn\right]}}
}{\text{\tt sum}} - \frac{\text{\tt sum\_top sum\_top}\Trn}{\text{\tt sum}^2}
\f}
@ingroup gHMM
@param A \e A: State transition probabilities.
@param pi \e \f$\pi\f$: initial state probabilities.
@param O \e O or \e I: the observed data (ie the images).
@param B \f$B\f$: A function object giving the (log) probability of an observation given a state, and derivatives with respect to the parameters.
@param compute_deriv Whether to compute the derivative, or return zero.
@param compute_hessian Whether to compute the Hessian, or return zero. This implies \c compute_deriv.
@returns the log probability of observing all the data, and the derivatives of the log probability with respect to the parameters, and the Hessian.
*/
template<int States, class Btype, class Otype> std::tuple<double, TooN::Vector<Btype::NumParameters>, TooN::Matrix<Btype::NumParameters> > forward_algorithm_hessian(TooN::Matrix<States> A, TooN::Vector<States> pi, const Btype& B, const std::vector<Otype>& O, bool compute_deriv=1, bool compute_hessian=1)
{
using namespace TooN;
using namespace std;
if(compute_hessian == 1)
compute_deriv=1;
static const int M = Btype::NumParameters;
int states = pi.size();
//delta[j][i] = delta_t(i)
vector<array<double, States> > delta(O.size());
//diff_delta[t][j][n] = d/de_n delta_t(j)
vector<array<Vector<M>,States > > diff_delta(O.size());
//hess_delta[t][j][m][n] = d2/de_n de_m delta_t(j)
vector<array<Matrix<M>,States > > hess_delta(O.size());
//Initialization: Eqn 19, P 262
//Set initial partial log probabilities:
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
{
delta[0][i] = ln(pi[i]) + B.log(i, O[0]);
if(compute_deriv)
diff_delta[0][i] = B.diff_log(i, O[0]);
if(compute_hessian)
hess_delta[0][i] = B.hess_log(i, O[0]);
}
//Perform the recursion: Eqn 20, P262
//Note, use T and T-1. Rather than T+1 and T.
for(unsigned int t=1; t < O.size(); t++)
{
for(int j=0; j < states; j++)
{
double Ztj = -HUGE_VAL; //This is Z_t(j)
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
Ztj = max(Ztj, delta[t-1][i] + ln(A[i][j]));
double sum=0;
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
sum += exp(delta[t-1][i] + ln(A[i][j]) - Ztj);
delta[t][j] = B.log(j, O[t]) + Ztj + ln(sum);
if(compute_deriv)
{
Vector<M> sum_top = Zeros;
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
sum_top += diff_delta[t-1][i] * exp(delta[t-1][i] + ln(A[i][j]) - Ztj);
diff_delta[t][j] = B.diff_log(j, O[t]) + (sum_top) / sum;
if(compute_hessian)
{
Matrix<M> sum_top2 = Zeros;
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
sum_top2 += exp(delta[t-1][i] + ln(A[i][j]) - Ztj) * ( hess_delta[t-1][i] + diff_delta[t-1][i].as_col() * diff_delta[t-1][i].as_row());
hess_delta[t][j] = B.hess_log(j, O[t]) + sum_top2 / sum - sum_top.as_col() * sum_top.as_row() / (sum*sum);
}
}
}
}
//Compute the log prob using normalization
double Z = -HUGE_VAL;
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
Z = max(Z, delta.back()[i]);
double sum =0;
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
sum += exp(delta.back()[i] - Z);
double log_prob = Z + ln(sum);
//Compute the differential of the log
Vector<M> diff_log = Zeros;
//Compute the differential of the log using normalization
//The convenient normalizer is ln P(O|lambda) which makes the bottom 1.
for(int i=0; compute_deriv && i < states; i++)
diff_log += exp(delta.back()[i] - log_prob)*diff_delta.back()[i];
Matrix<M> hess_log = Zeros;
//Compute the hessian of the log using normalization
//The convenient normalizer is ln P(O|lambda) which makes the bottom 1.
for(int i=0; compute_hessian && i < states; i++)
hess_log += exp(delta.back()[i] - log_prob) * (hess_delta.back()[i] + diff_delta.back()[i].as_col() * diff_delta.back()[i].as_row());
hess_log -= diff_log.as_col() * diff_log.as_row();
//Compute the differential of the Hessian
return make_tuple(log_prob, diff_log, hess_log);
}
/**
Run the forward algorithm and return the log probability.
@ingroup gHMM
@param A \e A: State transition probabilities.
@param pi \e \f$\pi\f$: initial state probabilities.
@param O \e O or \e I: the observed data (ie the images).
@param B \f$B\f$: A function object giving the (log) probability of an observation given a state.
@returns the log probability of observing all the data.
*/
template<int States, class Btype, class Otype> double forward_algorithm(TooN::Matrix<States> A, TooN::Vector<States> pi, const Btype& B, const std::vector<Otype>& O)
{
using namespace TooN;
using namespace std;
int states = pi.size();
//delta[j][i] = delta_t(i)
vector<array<double, States> > delta(O.size());
//Initialization: Eqn 19, P 262
//Set initial partial log probabilities:
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
delta[0][i] = ln(pi[i]) + B.log(i, O[0]);
//Perform the recursion: Eqn 20, P262
//Note, use T and T-1. Rather than T+1 and T.
for(unsigned int t=1; t < O.size(); t++)
{
for(int j=0; j < states; j++)
{
double Ztj = -HUGE_VAL; //This is Z_t(j)
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
Ztj = max(Ztj, delta[t-1][i] + ln(A[i][j]));
double sum=0;
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
sum += exp(delta[t-1][i] + ln(A[i][j]) - Ztj);
delta[t][j] = B.log(j, O[t]) + Ztj + ln(sum);
}
}
//Compute the log prob using normalization
double Z = -HUGE_VAL;
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
Z = max(Z, delta.back()[i]);
double sum =0;
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
sum += exp(delta.back()[i] - Z);
double log_prob = Z + ln(sum);
return log_prob;
}
/**
Run the forward algorithm and return the log probability and its derivatives.
@ingroup gHMM
@param A \e A: State transition probabilities.
@param pi \e \f$\pi\f$: initial state probabilities.
@param O \e O or \e I: the observed data (ie the images).
@param B \f$B\f$: A function object giving the (log) probability of an observation given a state, and derivatives with respect to the parameters.
@returns the log probability of observing all the data.
*/
template<int States, class Btype, class Otype> std::pair<double, TooN::Vector<Btype::NumParameters> > forward_algorithm_deriv(TooN::Matrix<States> A, TooN::Vector<States> pi, const Btype& B, const std::vector<Otype>& O)
{
using namespace std;
double p;
TooN::Vector<Btype::NumParameters> v;
tie(p,v, ignore) = forward_algorithm_hessian(A, pi, B, O, 1, 0);
return make_pair(p,v);
}
/**
Run the forward algorithm and return the log partials (delta)
@ingroup gHMM
@param A \e A: State transition probabilities.
@param pi \e \f$\pi\f$: initial state probabilities.
@param O \e O or \e I: the observed data (ie the images).
@param B \f$B\f$: A function object giving the (log) probability of an observation given a state, and derivatives with respect to the parameters.
@returns the log probability of observing all the data.
*/
template<int States, class Btype, class Otype>
std::vector<std::array<double, States> >
forward_algorithm_delta(TooN::Matrix<States> A, TooN::Vector<States> pi, const Btype& B, const std::vector<Otype>& O)
{
using namespace TooN;
using namespace std;
int states = pi.size();
//delta[j][i] = delta_t(i)
vector<array<double, States> > delta(O.size());
//Initialization: Eqn 19, P 262
//Set initial partial log probabilities:
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
delta[0][i] = ln(pi[i]) + B.log(i, O[0]);
//Forward pass...
//Perform the recursion: Eqn 20, P262
//Note, use T and T-1. Rather than T+1 and T.
for(unsigned int t=1; t < O.size(); t++)
{
for(int j=0; j < states; j++)
{
double Ztj = -HUGE_VAL; //This is Z_t(j)
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
Ztj = max(Ztj, delta[t-1][i] + ln(A[i][j]));
double sum=0;
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
sum += exp(delta[t-1][i] + ln(A[i][j]) - Ztj);
delta[t][j] = B.log(j, O[t]) + Ztj + ln(sum);
}
}
return delta;
}
/**
Run the forward algorithm and return the log partials (delta)
@ingroup gHMM
@param A \e A: State transition probabilities.
@param pi \e \f$\pi\f$: initial state probabilities.
@param O \e O or \e I: the observed data (ie the images).
@param B \f$B\f$: A function object giving the (log) probability of an observation given a state, and derivatives with respect to the parameters.
@param delta the \f$\delta\f$ values
*/
template<int States, class Btype, class Otype>
void forward_algorithm_delta2(TooN::Matrix<States> A, TooN::Vector<States> pi, const Btype& B, const std::vector<Otype>& O, std::vector<std::array<double, States> >& delta)
{
using namespace TooN;
using namespace std;
int states = pi.size();
//delta[j][i] = delta_t(i)
delta.resize(O.size());
//Initialization: Eqn 19, P 262
//Set initial partial log probabilities:
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
delta[0][i] = ln(pi[i]) + B.log(i, O[0]);
Matrix<States> lA;
for(int r=0; r < States; r++)
for(int c=0; c < States; c++)
lA[r][c] = ln(A[r][c]);
//Forward pass...
//Perform the recursion: Eqn 20, P262
//Note, use T and T-1. Rather than T+1 and T.
for(unsigned int t=1; t < O.size(); t++)
{
for(int j=0; j < states; j++)
{
double Ztj = -HUGE_VAL; //This is Z_t(j)
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
Ztj = max(Ztj, delta[t-1][i] + lA[i][j]);
double sum=0;
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
sum += exp(delta[t-1][i] + lA[i][j] - Ztj);
delta[t][j] = B.log(j, O[t]) + Ztj + ln(sum);
}
}
}
/**
Run the forward-backwards algorithm and return the log partials (delta and epsilon).
@ingroup gHMM
@param A \e A: State transition probabilities.
@param pi \e \f$\pi\f$: initial state probabilities.
@param O \e O or \e I: the observed data (ie the images).
@param B \f$B\f$: A function object giving the (log) probability of an observation given a state, and derivatives with respect to the parameters.
@returns the log probability of observing all the data.
*/
template<int States, class Btype, class Otype>
std::pair<std::vector<std::array<double, States> >, std::vector<std::array<double, States> > >
forward_backward_algorithm(TooN::Matrix<States> A, TooN::Vector<States> pi, const Btype& B, const std::vector<Otype>& O)
{
using namespace TooN;
using namespace std;
int states = pi.size();
//delta[j][i] = delta_t(i)
vector<array<double, States> > delta = forward_algorithm_delta(A, pi, B, O);
///Backward pass
///Epsilon is log beta
vector<array<double, States> > epsilon(O.size());
//Initialize beta to 1, ie epsilon to 0
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
epsilon[O.size()-1][i] = 0;
//Perform the backwards recursion
for(int t=O.size()-2; t >= 0; t--)
{
for(int i=0; i < states; i++)
{
//Find a normalizing constant
double Z = -HUGE_VAL;
for(int j=0; j < states; j++)
Z = max(Z, ln(A[i][j]) + B.log(j, O[t+1]) + epsilon[t+1][j]);
double sum=0;
for(int j= 0; j < states; j++)
sum += exp(ln(A[i][j]) + B.log(j, O[t+1]) + epsilon[t+1][j] - Z);
epsilon[t][i] = ln(sum) + Z;
}
}
return make_pair(delta, epsilon);
}
/*struct RngDrand48
{
double operator()()
{
return drand48();
}
};*/
///Select an element from the container v, assuming that v is a
///probability distribution over elements up to some scale.
///@param v Uscaled probability distribution
///@param scale Scale of v
///@param rng Random number generator to use
///@ingroup gHMM
template<class A, class Rng> int select_random_element(const A& v, const double scale, Rng& rng)
{
double total=0, choice = rng()*scale;
for(int i=0; i < (int)v.size(); i++)
{
total += v[i];
if(choice <= total)
return i;
}
return v.size()-1;
}
///Select an element from the a, assuming that a stores unscaled
///log probabilities of the elements
///@param a Uscaled probability distribution, stored as logarithms.
///@param rng Random number generator to use
///@ingroup gHMM
template<int N, class Rng> int sample_unscaled_log(std::array<double, N> a, Rng& rng)
{
double hi = *max_element(a.begin(), a.end());
double sum=0;
for(unsigned int i=0; i < a.size(); i++)
{
a[i] = exp(a[i] - hi);
sum += a[i];
}
return select_random_element(a, sum, rng);
}
///An implementation of the backwards sampling part of the forwards filtering/backwards sampling algorithm.
/// See `Monte Carlo smoothing for non-linear time series', Godsill and Doucet, JASA 2004
///@param A HMM transition matrix.
///@param delta Forward partial probabilities stored as logarithms.
///@param rng Random number generator to use
///@returns state at each time step.
///@ingroup gHMM
template<int States, class StateType, class Rng>
std::vector<StateType> backward_sampling(TooN::Matrix<States> A, const std::vector<std::array<double, States> >& delta, Rng& rng)
{
//Compute the elementwise log of A
for(int r=0; r < A.num_rows(); r++)
for(int c=0; c < A.num_cols(); c++)
A[r][c] = ln(A[r][c]);
std::vector<StateType> samples(delta.size());
samples.back() = sample_unscaled_log<States, Rng>(delta.back(), rng);
//A is A[t][t+1]
for(int i=delta.size()-2; i >= 0; i--)
{
std::array<double, States> reverse_probabilities = delta[i];
for(int j=0; j < States; j++)
reverse_probabilities[j] += A[j][samples[i+1]];
samples[i] = sample_unscaled_log<States, Rng>(reverse_probabilities, rng);
}
return samples;
}
/*
template<int States, class StateType>
std::vector<StateType> backward_sampling(const TooN::Matrix<States> &A, const std::vector<std::array<double, States> >& delta)
{
RngDrand48 d;
return backward_sampling<States, StateType, RngDrand48>(A, delta, d);
}
///@overload
template<int States>
std::vector<int> backward_sampling(const TooN::Matrix<States>& A, const std::vector<std::array<double, States> >& delta)
{
RngDrand48 d;
return backward_sampling<States, int, RngDrand48>(A, delta, d);
}
*/
#endif
|